中国煤制天然气产业竞争力分析及合理产能布局研究

发布时间：2018-05-01 11:34

本文选题：煤制天然气 + 竞争力　；参考：《中国地质大学（北京）》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：迫于环境压力和能源利用效率的问题，中国正在逐渐改变原有的以煤炭为主其他能源矿产作为辅助的能源消费结构。天然气作为洁净高效的能源在中国的消费面不断扩大，使得我国天然气的供需缺口不断扩大。我国煤炭资源丰富，发展煤制天然气是解决天然气供应问题的一个重要途径。但是，在发展过程中，煤制天然气也存在着一定的问题，包括经济性问题，输气管网的问题，对环境的影响问题以及国内多种气源的统筹规划问题等。这些问题不同程度地影响和限制了煤制天然气的发展。本文采用层次分析法，首先对常规化石能源（石油、煤炭和天然气）产业进行比较分析，得出天然气相对于石油和煤炭具有较强的竞争力，未来中国能源消费结构中，天然气所占据比重将大幅提高。然后对目前中国煤制天然气发展现状及存在问题进行分析，结合中国能源供需形势及未来趋势的研究成果，为国内气源（常规天然气、页岩气、煤层气和煤制天然气）产业进行评分，分析中国煤制天然气产业在国内各气源产业中的竞争力，得出，在国内各气源产业发展中，煤制天然气的竞争力较好，仅次于常规天然气的竞争力，要高于页岩气和煤层气的竞争力。最后研究分析其未来的合理产能及产业布局。综合考虑未来国内各气源的供应、需求情况及产能利用率的问题，建议到2020年国内煤制天然气合理产能控制在800-1000亿立方米，这样的产能规模既可以对我国天然气供应起到较好的补充，缓解供应紧张，又可以规避产能过度扩张带来的产业风险。综合考虑煤炭资源量、水资源量、天然气消费量及污染物排放量等因素，在未来煤制天然气规划方面，，新疆和内蒙古鼓励发展煤制天然气，山西和陕西适度发展，安徽可以少量发展，四川、云南和贵州可以作为煤制天然气未来发展的潜力区，其余区域较为不适宜发展煤制天然气产业。
[Abstract]:Due to the problems of environmental pressure and energy utilization efficiency, China is gradually changing the existing energy consumption structure with coal as the main source of other energy minerals. As a clean and efficient energy, the consumption face of natural gas is expanding in China, which makes the gap between supply and demand of natural gas in China expanding. Coal natural gas is an important way to solve the problem of natural gas supply. However, in the process of development, there are some problems in coal natural gas, including economic problems, the problems of gas transmission pipeline network, the environmental impact and the overall planning of various domestic gas sources. These problems have been affected and restricted in varying degrees. The development of coal natural gas.
In this paper, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is used to compare the conventional fossil energy (petroleum, coal and natural gas) industry. It is concluded that natural gas has a strong competitiveness relative to oil and coal. In the future, the proportion of natural gas in China's energy consumption structure will be greatly raised. On the basis of the analysis of the problems, combining with the research results of China's energy supply and demand situation and future trend, the paper points out the domestic gas sources (conventional natural gas, shale gas, coal bed gas and coal natural gas) industry, and analyzes the competitive power of China's coal natural gas industry in domestic gas source industries, and concludes that coal is natural in the development of domestic gas source industries. The competitive power of gas is better than that of the conventional natural gas, which is higher than the competitiveness of shale gas and coal bed gas. Finally, the reasonable production capacity and industrial layout of its future are studied and analyzed.
Considering the supply, demand and productivity utilization of domestic gas sources in the future, it is suggested that in 2020, the reasonable production capacity of coal natural gas in China should be controlled at 800-1000 billion cubic meters. This capacity can be a good supplement to the supply of natural gas in China, alleviate the stress and avoid the excessive expansion of capacity. Industrial risk.
Considering the coal resources, the amount of water resources, the consumption of natural gas and the emission of pollutants, in the future coal based natural gas planning, Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia encourage the development of coal natural gas, Shanxi and Shaanxi are moderately developed, Anhui can develop a small amount, Sichuan, Yunnan and Guizhou can be the potential areas for the future development of coal natural gas. The rest of the region is not suitable for the development of coal to natural gas industry.

【学位授予单位】：中国地质大学（北京）
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.22

【参考文献】