电网企业经营风险管理模型及其信息系统研究

发布时间：2018-05-14 23:21

本文选题：电网企业 + 经营风险　；参考：《华北电力大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：当前,风险管理已成为企业经营管理的基本概念之一,是贯穿现代企业经营管理的一个重要范畴。如何适应经营环境的变化,提高抗风险能力成为摆在企业管理者面前的一个现实而严峻的问题。企业要想在市场竞争中立于不败之地,就必须加强风险管理。电网企业作为公共服务类企业,既要贯彻国家对国有企业规范管理的要求,又要实现电网与企业的发展,因此对经营风险管理越来越重视。本文首先回顾了国内外风险管理研究与应用情况,分析了电网企业整体经营与风险管理现状并且指出电网企业风险管理的不足之处。论述了信息技术的发展趋势及信息技术为电网企业提升经营风险管理水平带来的机遇。基于德尔菲法对电网企业经营风险进行有效识别,并逐一分析存在的内外部风险因素。基于单变量模型与Z计分模型,构造出适合电网企业的经营风险预警数学模型。根据电网企业核心经营指标,分别从盈利能力、偿债能力、运营能力与成长能力四个方面建立了电网企业经营风险管理指标体系。搭建电网企业经营风险管理系统框架,建立电网企业经营风险管理系统,并分经营信息收集、分析与评估、风险预警和风险预处理四个子系统进行描述。结合山东滨海供电公司经营风险管控实例分析,验证经营风险动态预警效果。研究成果将对电网企业目前经营风险的管控具有启发意义,为电网企业在今后发展中对经营风险管控制度的建立,提供一定的理论基础。
[Abstract]:At present, risk management has become one of the basic concepts of enterprise management, and it is an important category of modern enterprise management. How to adapt to the change of management environment and improve the ability to resist risks has become a realistic and severe problem in front of enterprise managers. Enterprises must strengthen risk management if they want to be invincible in market competition. As public service enterprises, power grid enterprises should not only carry out the national standard management requirements of state-owned enterprises, but also realize the development of power grid and enterprises, so they pay more and more attention to management risk management. Firstly, this paper reviews the research and application of risk management at home and abroad, analyzes the present situation of the whole management and risk management of power grid enterprises, and points out the shortcomings of the risk management of power grid enterprises. This paper discusses the development trend of information technology and the opportunity brought by information technology for grid enterprises to improve the level of management risk management. Based on Delphi method, the operating risk of power grid enterprises is effectively identified, and the internal and external risk factors are analyzed one by one. Based on the single variable model and Z scoring model, a mathematical model of early warning of business risk is constructed for power grid enterprises. According to the core management index of power grid enterprise, the index system of management risk management of power grid enterprise is established from four aspects: profitability, solvency, operation ability and growth ability. In this paper, the management risk management system of power grid enterprise is set up, and the system is described by four subsystems: information collection, analysis and evaluation, risk warning and risk preprocessing. Combined with Shandong Binhai Power supply Company operating risk management and control case analysis, verify the dynamic early warning effect of management risk. The research results will enlighten the management and control of the current management risk of power grid enterprises and provide a certain theoretical basis for the establishment of the management risk control system in the future development of power grid enterprises.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F272.3;F426.61

【参考文献】