2015年我国农药市场和大宗产品行情走势及预测分析

发布时间：2018-05-25 10:22

本文选题：农药 + 农药出口退税　；参考：《农药》2015年09期

【摘要】：2015年我国农药行业调整预计贯穿全年。从供应看,今年上半年全国累计生产农药180.7万t,增幅由去年同期0.7%上升到3.2%,供应过剩态势依然严峻;今年农药出口受阻,上半年我国农药原药出口交货值169.19亿元,同比下降14%,随着国外采购传统旺季的到来,预计今年后半程农药出口有所改善;从价格上看,国际市场需求不足,导致行业整体上呈现低速下行的态势,从2014年3季度以来,中国农药产品出口呈现量价齐跌的态势,大宗农药产品出现跌多涨少态势。目前,6—7月我国整体农药市场进入淡季,原药工厂进入盘整阶段,行情变化不大,预计下半年价量会有所好转,不过出现V型反转的概率不大。
[Abstract]:The adjustment of pesticide industry in China in 2015 is expected to run through the whole year. From the point of view of supply, in the first half of this year, the cumulative production of pesticides in the whole country was 1.807 million tons, the increase rate rose from 0.7% in the same period of last year to 3.2%, and the situation of surplus supply is still grim. With the arrival of the traditional high season of foreign purchasing, the export of pesticides in the second half of this year is expected to improve. In terms of prices, insufficient demand in the international market has led the industry as a whole to show a low downward trend since the third quarter of 2014. China's pesticide exports showed a decline in volume and price, while bulk pesticide products fell more and less. At present, the overall pesticide market in China entered the off-season in June and July, and the raw medicine factory entered the consolidation stage. The market has not changed much, and the price is expected to improve in the second half of the year, but the probability of V-type reversal is small.
【作者单位】：北京华通纵横经济信息咨询公司;
【分类号】：F426.72;F767.2

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