山东奥德燃气郑旺CNG加气站项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-06-03 23:52

本文选题：加气站 + 项目风险　；参考：《中国海洋大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：压缩天然气(CNG)目前是一种发展比较成熟的新型替代能源,国内关于天然气的应用技术已经发展的十分广泛,而且国家也大力支持车辆使用天然气作为新型汽车燃料。随着社会经济的快速发展,车辆的使用越来越多,而石油价格的上升,使得很多企业都考虑转换气罐来减低车辆费用,可是加气站的缺乏,使得加气车辆每次都需要排很长的队伍才能加到气,不仅浪费了时间还影响了交通。正是在这样的背景下,山东奥德燃气郑旺CNG加气站提出建设新的加气站。可是加气站在建设过程中,存在很多的风险,如何控制管理加气站建设过程中的安全风险,实现城市社会公共安全显得越来越重要。本文以山东奥德燃气郑旺CNG加气站为背景,结合风险管理理论知识,对郑旺CNG加气站在建设过程中的各种风险的识别、评估和控制进行了详细的分析和研究。首先根据项目风险管理运行的原理,对山东奥德燃气郑旺CNG加气站项目进行了具体的分析；其次通过风险识别揭示风险的来源,构建了奥德燃气郑旺CNG加气站项目的风险评价指标模型,运用层次分析法确定各风险评价指标的权值,并对风险程度进行了排序；再次通过模糊综合评判法确定项目的风险等级,得出奥德燃气加气站项目风险的综合值为中度,可以通过加强风险监控,减轻风险发生的概率。最后,提出了项目建设过程中的风险控制措施,从而提高项目建设的安全保障性。
[Abstract]:Compressed natural gas (CNG) is a new type of alternative energy with mature development. The application technology of natural gas has been developed widely in China, and the country also strongly supports vehicles to use natural gas as a new type of vehicle fuel. With the rapid development of social economy, more and more vehicles are used, and the increase of oil price makes many enterprises consider switching gas tanks to reduce the cost of vehicles, but the shortage of filling stations. It takes a long line each time to add air, which not only wastes time but also affects traffic. It is in this context that Shandong Ode Gas Zheng Wang CNG Gas Station proposed the construction of a new filling station. However, there are a lot of risks in the process of gas station construction. How to control the safety risk in the process of gas station construction and realize the public safety of urban society is becoming more and more important. In this paper, based on the background of Shandong Ode Gas Zheng Wang CNG filling Station and the theoretical knowledge of risk management, the identification, evaluation and control of various risks in the construction process of Zheng Wang CNG filling Station are analyzed and studied in detail. First of all, according to the principle of project risk management, the project of Shandong Ode Gas Zheng Wang CNG filling Station is analyzed concretely, and the source of risk is revealed through risk identification. The risk evaluation index model of CNG gas filling station project is constructed, and the weight of each risk evaluation index is determined by analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and the degree of risk is ranked. Thirdly, the risk grade of the project is determined by the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, and the comprehensive value of the project risk of the Oder gas filling station is found to be moderate. The probability of risk occurrence can be reduced by strengthening the risk monitoring. Finally, the risk control measures in the process of project construction are put forward to improve the safety and security of the project construction.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.22;F272.3

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