煤电能源供应链风险递展机理分析:结构型和过程型

发布时间：2018-06-20 01:35

本文选题：煤电能源 + 能源供应链　；参考：《技术经济》2015年04期

【摘要】：定义了"供应链风险递展"的概念,将风险递展分为3类,即"效果型""结构型"和"过程型"。利用解释结构方程和卡方自动交叉检验方法,分别对结构型递展和过程型递展的作用机理进行建模和分析。研究结果如下:结构型递展过程主要体现各风险之间的结构关系,过程型递展过程主要体现利益相关主体在决策过程中对风险考量的优先排序;在分析结构型递展过程时,将煤电能源供应链风险指标分布于8个层次,"制度/法律风险"和"经济周期风险"是影响煤电能源供应链安全性的源头;在分析过程型递展过程时,将煤电能源供应链风险指标分为18个类别,并筛选出可影响供应链安全性的9个风险。
[Abstract]:This paper defines the concept of "supply chain risk spread" and divides it into three categories, namely, "effect type" structural type "and" process type ". Using the method of explaining structural equation and chi-square automatic cross test, the mechanism of structural devolopment and process devolopment is modeled and analyzed respectively. The results are as follows: the structural development process mainly reflects the structural relationship among the risks, the process of the development process mainly reflects the priority of stakeholders to the risk consideration in the decision-making process; in the analysis of the structural development process, The risk index of coal power supply chain is distributed in 8 levels. "system / law risk" and "economic cycle risk" are the source of influencing the safety of coal power supply chain. The coal power supply chain risk index is divided into 18 categories and 9 risks affecting the supply chain security are screened out.
【作者单位】：华北电力大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“煤电能源供应链风险递展动因分析及风险控制模拟模型研究”(71273090)
【分类号】：F426.6;F274

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