基于供应链一体化的跨国粮油企业风险控制方法研究

发布时间：2018-06-28 13:49

本文选题：供应链 + 风险控制　；参考：《天津大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：从原材料到产品增值的价值链就是供应链，供应链在企业的运营中发挥着核心作用，关于供应链的管理也越来越成为当下热门的话题，而供应链的稳定与否则关系到企业运作的平稳，造成供应链损失或者中断的因素称之为供应链风险，管理和控制供应链风险已成为企业抵御不利的外部和内部因素的重要手段。粮油企业是以生产植物食用油和动物饲料原料为主的食品企业，食用油是百姓日常生活的必需品和易耗品，因此粮油企业是关乎民生，以及国家大豆产业安全的重要因素。而随着国家对外资粮油企业的放开，跨国粮油企业在我国的食用油市场上占据了半壁江山，而他们的供应链具有自身的独特优势，而本文正是从跨国粮油企业的角度分析他们供应链各个环节的风险构成，从原材料采购，大豆压榨生产以及销售三个环节探究风险因素的种类以及形成原因，首先，在采购环节中，企业需要进口大豆作为生产原料，企业面临的主要采购风险就是大豆的价格波动，本文基于SPSS软件，运用主成分分析法来分析影响大豆价格波动的主要因素，并提出预防和控制价格风险的措施；其次，在生产环节，运用事故树分析方法得出影响生产系统运行的主要风险因素，并提出防控措施；第三，在销售环节，产品价格风险不可避免，同样利用主成份分析法来分析影响豆粕和豆油价格波动的主要因素，同时分析销售环节中的其他管理风险和控制方法；第四，本文还设计出适用于跨国粮油企业供应链风险的监控系统，其中的风险因素分析环节运用多级模糊综合评价法，评价出企业供应链环节中不同风险对供应链的影响程度从而更有针对性的采取控制措施，，最后以某粮油公司C公司为实际案例进行供应链风险的监控系统的研究，得出C公司的供应链风险等级，以及监控体系。本文研究结果认为，跨国粮油企业的供应链相对稳定，发生供应链中断的可能性不大，但在各个环节都存在影响供应链稳定的风险因素，供应链风险监控系统仍然需要建立来应对随时可能发生的风险。
[Abstract]:The value chain from raw material to product increment is supply chain. Supply chain plays a central role in the operation of enterprises. The management of supply chain has become a hot topic. The stability of supply chain or otherwise is related to the smooth operation of the enterprise. The factors causing the loss or interruption of supply chain are called supply chain risk. Management and control of supply chain risk has become an important means for enterprises to resist adverse external and internal factors. Grain and oil enterprises are food enterprises which mainly produce vegetable edible oil and animal feed raw materials. Edible oil is the daily necessities and consumables of the people. Therefore, grain and oil enterprises are important factors for the livelihood of people and the safety of the national soybean industry. With the opening up of foreign-funded grain and oil enterprises by the state, multinational grain and oil enterprises have occupied half of the edible oil market in China, and their supply chains have their own unique advantages. From the perspective of multinational grain and oil enterprises, this paper analyzes the risk composition of each link in their supply chain, and explores the types and causes of risk factors from the three links of raw material procurement, soybean crushing production and marketing. In the process of purchasing, the enterprise needs to import soybean as raw material, and the main purchasing risk faced by enterprises is the price fluctuation of soybean. Based on SPSS software, this paper analyzes the main factors that affect the fluctuation of soybean price by principal component analysis. The measures to prevent and control the price risk are put forward. Secondly, the main risk factors affecting the operation of the production system are obtained by using the accident tree analysis method in the production link, and the prevention and control measures are put forward. Product price risk is inevitable, also use principal component analysis to analyze the main factors that affect the price fluctuation of soybean meal and soybean oil, at the same time, analyze other management risks and control methods in the sales link; fourth, This paper also designs a monitoring system for the supply chain risk of transnational grain and oil enterprises, in which the risk factors are analyzed by multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. The paper evaluates the influence degree of different risks on supply chain in enterprise supply chain, so as to take control measures more pertinently. Finally, taking C company of a grain and oil company as an actual case, the monitoring system of supply chain risk is studied. C company's supply chain risk level, and monitoring system. The conclusion of this paper is that the supply chain of transnational grain and oil enterprises is relatively stable, the possibility of supply chain interruption is not great, but there are risk factors that affect the supply chain stability in every link. Supply chain risk monitoring systems still need to be set up to deal with the risks that may occur at any time.
【学位授予单位】：天津大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.82;F272.3

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