风险管理在Swift-BACnet项目中的研究与应用

发布时间：2018-07-09 22:59

本文选题：风险管理 + 计划评审技术　；参考：《复旦大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：风险管理是项目管理九大知识体系中的重要组成部分。项目中的潜在风险,对项目的成败形成重要影响。延期完工、成本超出预算、或是产品性能差等现象,说明必须用科学的方法对项目进行风险管理。本文针对公司新一代BACnet智能电表项目,在研发过程中所碰到的问题及存在的风险,研究与采用多种先进的技术,提出使用量化的分析评估方法对风险进行管理。针对项目在技术及时间上都存在着巨大风险。采用的办法是,针对项目时间紧的问题,通过使用计划评审技术对项目工期进行了评估及合理性判断,并通过使用甘特图来监控、管理项目进度；针对项目组对BACnet技术不熟悉,在BACnet协议栈的选择上使用层次分析法量化各备选方案风险,选择风险权重低的方案,从而降低决策过程中的主观性；同时,使用概率和影响矩阵法,对项目过程中的风险进行识别、评估,并根据风险的重要程度进行有效应对,取得成功。通过应用风险管理的相关知识,对项目风险进行量化和评估,使得项目最终得到顺利进行并按时交付。文章还对研究与应用的成效进行了评估。并与过去类似项目在项目绩效参数上的比较,即项目预算与实际支出,项目预计工期与实际完工时间,以及项目质量等方面,反映出风险管理在项目研发过程中的重要意义。
[Abstract]:Risk management is an important part of nine knowledge systems of project management. The potential risks in the project have an important impact on the success or failure of the project. Delays in completion, cost overruns, or poor product performance indicate that the project must be managed in a scientific way. Aiming at the problems and risks encountered in the research and development of the new generation BACnet intelligent meter project, this paper studies and adopts a variety of advanced technologies, and puts forward a quantitative analysis and evaluation method to manage the risk. There are huge risks in terms of technology and time for the project. In view of the project time constraints, the project schedule is evaluated and judged by using the plan review technology, and the project progress is managed by using Gantt chart, and the project team is not familiar with BACnet technology. In the selection of BACnet protocol stack, Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is used to quantify the risk of each alternative and select the scheme with low risk weight, thus reducing the subjectivity in the decision-making process, at the same time, the probability and influence matrix method is used. Identify and evaluate the risks in the process of the project, and effectively deal with them according to the importance of the risks. By applying the knowledge of risk management, the project risk is quantified and evaluated, so that the project can be successfully carried out and delivered on time. The effectiveness of the research and application is also evaluated. Compared with the similar projects in the past, such as the project budget and actual expenditure, the estimated project duration and the actual completion time, as well as the quality of the project, it reflects the importance of risk management in the process of project research and development.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F273;F426.61

【共引文献】