苏丹油田EPC项目风险管理研究
发布时间：2018-08-04 11:13
【摘要】：设计、采购、施工(Engineering、Procurement and Construction,以下简称EPC)总承包管理模式,在石化、水电、交通等工程规模大、技术难度高、建设周期长、投资金额大的工程项目中较为常用。对于承揽EPC项目的承包商来说,如何应对从项目启动到竣工投产这一系列复杂过程中各种因素对项目产生的影响而导致的对项目质量、安全、工期、成本造成的波动,是摆在承包商面前的一个十分现实的问题。更特别的,对于在国际市场开展石油工程EPC总承包项目的承包商而言,国际政治局势的波动性、EPC总承包项目管理的复杂性、利益相关方的多样性、法律金融秩序的约束性、自然地理环境的异常性都增加了EPC总承包商承揽国际工程的风险,需要加强风险管理。 本文在研究EPC总承包项目管理模式及风险管理理论知识的基础上,以苏丹油田EPC项目风险管理为主要内容,进行了风险识别、风险评价及风险应对方面的研究,完成的主要工作如下： (1)分析了苏丹油田工程项目管理模式及风险管理的现状,采用专家访谈法、资料查询法、流程梳理法等有效方法,得出在外部环境风险和项目执行风险这两方面的12类32项风险因素。 (2)对识别出的风险因素,建立风险评价指标体系,采用调查问卷法、层次分析法和模糊综合评价法对风险因素逐一进行评价,得到各个风险因素的权重指标；通过综合评价,判断各类风险的等级,得出经济风险、法律风险、设计风险、采购风险这4类风险为较高等级风险,需在风险管理中重点应对。 (3)在风险应对方面,首先提出了苏丹油田EPC项目风险应对的总体策略,并针对上述4类较高等级风险,提出了具体的风险应对措施。 本文研究结果,一方面对在苏丹开展石油工程EPC项目建设提供了风险管理的重点关注目标,提出了具体应对措施；另一方面,本文给出了一套开展国际EPC总承包项目风险识别、风险评价、风险应对的有效方法,对于承包商在其他国家开展EPC项目风险管理具有指导借鉴意义。
[Abstract]:The general contract management mode of design, procurement and construction (hereinafter referred to as EPC) is commonly used in petrochemical, hydropower, traffic and other engineering projects with large scale, high technical difficulty, long construction period and large investment amount. For the contractor of EPC project, how to deal with the fluctuation of project quality, safety, duration and cost caused by various factors in the complicated process from the start of the project to the completion and commissioning of the project, Is a very realistic question in front of the contractor. In particular, for contractors engaged in petroleum engineering EPC general contracting projects in the international market, the volatility of the international political situation is compounded by the complexity of project management, the diversity of stakeholders, and the binding nature of the legal and financial order. The anomaly of natural geographical environment has increased the risk of international engineering contracted by EPC contractor, so risk management should be strengthened. Based on the study of EPC general contracting project management model and risk management theory, this paper studies the risk identification, risk evaluation and risk management of EPC project in Sudan oilfield. The main works are as follows: (1) the paper analyzes the current situation of project management and risk management in Sudan oil field, and adopts effective methods, such as expert interview, data query, flow combing, etc. It is concluded that there are 12 types and 32 risk factors in external environment risk and project implementation risk. (2) risk evaluation index system is established for identified risk factors, and questionnaire method is used. AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method evaluate the risk factors one by one, get the weight index of each risk factor, through comprehensive evaluation, judge the grade of all kinds of risk, get the economic risk, legal risk, design risk, These four kinds of risks are high grade risks, which need to be dealt with in risk management. (3) in the aspect of risk management, the overall strategy of EPC project risk management in Sudan oilfield is put forward. In view of the above 4 kinds of higher-grade risks, the concrete risk countermeasures are put forward. The research results of this paper, on the one hand, provide the key target of risk management for the construction of petroleum engineering EPC project in Sudan, and put forward the concrete countermeasures; on the other hand, this paper gives a set of risk identification for the international EPC general contracting project. Risk evaluation, an effective method of risk response, has guiding significance for contractors to carry out EPC project risk management in other countries.
【学位授予单位】：中国科学院大学（工程管理与信息技术学院）
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：TE4;F441.2
本文编号：2163795
[Abstract]:The general contract management mode of design, procurement and construction (hereinafter referred to as EPC) is commonly used in petrochemical, hydropower, traffic and other engineering projects with large scale, high technical difficulty, long construction period and large investment amount. For the contractor of EPC project, how to deal with the fluctuation of project quality, safety, duration and cost caused by various factors in the complicated process from the start of the project to the completion and commissioning of the project, Is a very realistic question in front of the contractor. In particular, for contractors engaged in petroleum engineering EPC general contracting projects in the international market, the volatility of the international political situation is compounded by the complexity of project management, the diversity of stakeholders, and the binding nature of the legal and financial order. The anomaly of natural geographical environment has increased the risk of international engineering contracted by EPC contractor, so risk management should be strengthened. Based on the study of EPC general contracting project management model and risk management theory, this paper studies the risk identification, risk evaluation and risk management of EPC project in Sudan oilfield. The main works are as follows: (1) the paper analyzes the current situation of project management and risk management in Sudan oil field, and adopts effective methods, such as expert interview, data query, flow combing, etc. It is concluded that there are 12 types and 32 risk factors in external environment risk and project implementation risk. (2) risk evaluation index system is established for identified risk factors, and questionnaire method is used. AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method evaluate the risk factors one by one, get the weight index of each risk factor, through comprehensive evaluation, judge the grade of all kinds of risk, get the economic risk, legal risk, design risk, These four kinds of risks are high grade risks, which need to be dealt with in risk management. (3) in the aspect of risk management, the overall strategy of EPC project risk management in Sudan oilfield is put forward. In view of the above 4 kinds of higher-grade risks, the concrete risk countermeasures are put forward. The research results of this paper, on the one hand, provide the key target of risk management for the construction of petroleum engineering EPC project in Sudan, and put forward the concrete countermeasures; on the other hand, this paper gives a set of risk identification for the international EPC general contracting project. Risk evaluation, an effective method of risk response, has guiding significance for contractors to carry out EPC project risk management in other countries.
【学位授予单位】：中国科学院大学（工程管理与信息技术学院）
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：TE4;F441.2
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前1条
1 刘光忱;孙磊;赵曼;;基于EPC模式下总承包商项目风险管理研究[J];沈阳建筑大学学报(社会科学版);2012年01期
，本文编号：2163795
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