LH公司罗湖珠宝指数方案设计

发布时间：2018-08-14 09:41

【摘要】：珠宝是融合了美丽、情感和财富三种要素的重要产品之一。指数是一种表明社会经济现象动态的相对数。运用指数可以测定不能直接相加和不能直接对比的社会经济现象的总动态;可以分析社会经济现象总变动中各因素变动的影响程度;可以研究总平均指标变动中各组标志水平和总体结构变动的作用。深圳市罗湖区现有2500多家黄金珠宝生产经营企业,年产销额约1000多亿元,批发交易额约占全国66%。伴随消费结构升级、资源供给约束加剧,珠宝企业亟待进行产业结构升级,走高端化和信息化发展道路迫在眉睫。与此同时,由于缺乏有效的信息处理和发布系统,目前珠宝市场存在信息庞杂、分散、独立等问题,无形中增加了交易成本。另一方面,分散的市场经营决策和定价机制,致使珠宝企业缺乏可效仿的信息机制,产品定价受上游原材料价格影响较大,全球珠宝产业的价格谈判能力匮乏。本文主要对LH公司指数设计整体框架、罗湖珠宝指数内容、指数数据采集与处理,指数计算模型等进行了探讨。首先,本文通过对中国采购经理指数(PMI)、中国居民消费价格指数(CPI)、义乌小商品指数等的分析,研究适合珠宝行业的指数内容。经对比分析法,认为珠宝指数应该由价格指数、成交量指数、景气指数三大部分构成,其中,有关指数内容中代表产品及其权重的设计,综合使用了问卷调查法与访谈法,考虑到各方面的问题,一期决定率先统计黄金和钻石两大品种。在数据采集与处理方面,采取了问卷调查法和统计法相结合,对罗湖地区已确立的数据采集企业定期发放调查问卷,收集数据后统计可使用数值。有关指数计算模型采取了经验总结法,分别为:价格指数与成交量指数的编制,根据刘银国和赵培标的理论,本文统一采取了派氏物价指数方案。景气指数的选择有合成指数法、扩散指数法以及加权平均法。经对比分析本文采用合成指数法进行计算。合成指数法是先求出每个指标的对称变化率,即变化率不是以本期或上期为基数求得,而是以两者的平均数为基数求得。最后,本文的结论为罗湖珠宝指数内容应由价格指数、成交量指数、景气指数和单独监测指数构成;考虑到项目的复杂性,一期将重点研究黄金与钻石两个品类;价格指数和成交量指数将采用加权法以及派氏物价指数相结合的方案,景气指数采用加权法和合成法。
[Abstract]:Jewelry is one of the most important products that combines beauty, emotion and wealth. An index is a relative number indicating the dynamics of social and economic phenomena. The index can be used to measure the total dynamics of the social and economic phenomena which can not be directly added and can not be directly contrasted, and the influence degree of the changes of various factors in the total changes of the social economic phenomena can be analyzed. We can study the effect of the index level and the total structure change in the change of the total average index. There are more than 2500 gold jewelry production and management enterprises in Luohu District, Shenzhen City, with annual production and sales volume of more than 100 billion yuan, and wholesale transaction volume accounting for 66 billion yuan in the whole country. With the upgrading of consumption structure and the intensification of resource supply constraints, jewelry enterprises urgently need to upgrade their industrial structure. It is urgent to take the road of high-end and information-based development. At the same time, due to the lack of effective information processing and distribution system, there are many problems in jewelry market, such as information, dispersion, independence and so on, which increases transaction cost. On the other hand, the decentralized market management decision and pricing mechanism lead to the lack of information mechanism that can be emulated by jewelry enterprises. The pricing of products is greatly influenced by the prices of raw materials upstream, and the global jewelry industry lacks the ability to negotiate prices. This paper discusses the whole frame of LH company's index design, the content of Luohu Jewelry Index, the index data collection and processing, the index calculation model and so on. Firstly, through the analysis of China's purchasing manager index (PMI), Chinese consumer price index (CPI), Yiwu small commodity index and so on, this paper studies the index content suitable for jewelry industry. Through comparative analysis, it is concluded that jewelry index should be composed of three parts: price index, turnover index and prosperity index. Among them, the design of the representative product and its weight in the relevant index content is composed of questionnaire survey method and interview method. In view of all aspects of the problem, a decision to take the lead in statistics of gold and diamond two major varieties. In the aspect of data acquisition and processing, questionnaire survey and statistical method are adopted to distribute the questionnaire to established data collection enterprises in Luohu area. After collecting the data, the statistics can be used. The empirical summary method is used to calculate the index, which is the compilation of price index and turnover index. According to the theory of Liu Yinguo and Zhao Peibiao, this paper adopts the plan of pie price index. The choice of boom index includes composite index method, diffusion index method and weighted average method. By comparison and analysis, the method of synthetic index is used to calculate. The method of composite exponent is to calculate the symmetric rate of change of each index first, that is, the rate of change is obtained not from the current period or the previous period, but from the average of both. Finally, the conclusion of this paper is that the content of Luohu Jewelry Index should be composed of price index, turnover index, boom index and individual monitoring index, considering the complexity of the project, the first phase will focus on the study of gold and diamond. The price index and the volume index will adopt the weighted method and the pie price index combination plan, the prosperity index will adopt the weight method and the synthesis method.
【学位授予单位】：中国地质大学(北京)
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.8

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