我国制造业科技潜力评价研究

发布时间：2018-08-24 18:48

【摘要】：进入21世纪以来,我国已经成为名副其实的制造业大国,但远还不是制造业强国。挖掘制造业科技潜力,加快制造业转型,提升制造业竞争力,成为我国在日趋激烈的全球化竞争环境中求生存、求发展的必然选择。目前,国内外学者对制造业科技潜力相关研究主要呈现两方面特点：一方面,对制造业的评价研究主要集中在竞争力、新型化、信息化、技术创新能力和技术创新效率等方面,多是对制造业发展现状的评价研究,对于制造业未来科技发展潜力的研究相对匮乏。另一方面,学者们对科技潜力的相关评价研究更多是集中在国家或者区域层面,涉及产业层面的研究不足。本研究就是在前人研究基础上,根据科技潜力影响要素构建我国制造业科技潜力评价指标体系,对我国制造业过去的发展进行总结,并对制造业当前科技发展现状做出分析,为提升我国制造业科技潜力,促进我国由制造大国向制造强国转型提供借鉴。本研究在对制造业科技潜力相关研究现状进行梳理的基础上,首先对制造行业进行重新归类,并对制造业科技潜力内涵进行研究界定；然后,将制造业科技潜力的影响要素分为科技投入潜力、制造科技潜力、科技产出潜力、科技支撑潜力和科技扩散潜力五个方面,由于科技潜力不仅和当前科技能力相关,也和科技能力的增长性密不可分,因此以这两类指标的加权和为科技潜力评价标准；最后,利用纵横向拉开档次法对我国制造业24个行业整体科技潜力和科技分项潜力进行评价研究,得出我国制造业科技潜力的发展现状。通过对我国制造业科技潜力发展现状的评价分析,得出以下结论：我国制造业科技潜力发展总体趋势较为稳定；近六年来我国制造业分行业科技投入潜力和科技产出潜力的稳定性要优于制造科技潜力、科技支撑潜力和科技扩散潜力；整体科技潜力处于不同层级的行业科技潜力发展稳定性不同,优势和劣势科技分项潜力也有所差异。本研究最后根据我国制造业科技潜力的评价结果,结合K-均值聚类分析方法,对科技潜力处于强、较强、居中、较弱和弱的制造行业分别进行对策研究,提出科技潜力提升的针对性政策建议。
[Abstract]:Since entering the 21 st century, China has become a real manufacturing country, but far from a manufacturing power. It is an inevitable choice for our country to seek survival and development in the increasingly fierce global competition environment by tapping the scientific and technological potential of manufacturing industry, speeding up the transformation of manufacturing industry and enhancing the competitiveness of manufacturing industry. At present, scholars at home and abroad mainly present two aspects of characteristics: on the one hand, the research on evaluation of manufacturing mainly focuses on competitiveness, new-type, information, technological innovation ability and technological innovation efficiency, etc. Most of the research is the evaluation of the current situation of manufacturing development, and the research on the future development potential of manufacturing industry is relatively scarce. On the other hand, scholars' research on the evaluation of science and technology potential is more focused on the national or regional level, involving the lack of research on the industrial level. This research is based on the previous studies, according to the scientific and technological potential factors to construct the scientific and technological potential evaluation index system, to summarize the past development of China's manufacturing industry, and to make an analysis of the current status of scientific and technological development of manufacturing industry. In order to enhance the scientific and technological potential of our manufacturing industry and promote the transformation from a large manufacturing country to a powerful manufacturing country, this paper provides a reference for reference. On the basis of combing the current situation of the research on the science and technology potential of manufacturing industry, this study firstly reclassifies the manufacturing industry and defines the connotation of the science and technology potential of the manufacturing industry. The factors affecting the scientific and technological potential of manufacturing industry are divided into five aspects: the potential of science and technology input, the potential of manufacturing science and technology, the potential of science and technology output, the potential of science and technology support and the potential of science and technology diffusion. It is also inextricably linked to the growth of scientific and technological capabilities, so the weighted sum of these two types of indicators is used as a criterion for evaluating the potential of science and technology; finally, The scientific and technological potential and itemized potential of 24 manufacturing industries in China were evaluated and studied by using the longitudinal and horizontal pull level method, and the development status of the scientific and technological potential of the manufacturing industry in China was obtained. Through the evaluation and analysis of the present situation of the development of the science and technology potential of our manufacturing industry, the following conclusions are drawn: the overall trend of the development of the science and technology potential of our manufacturing industry is relatively stable; In recent six years, the stability of science and technology input potential and science and technology output potential of manufacturing industry in China is better than that of manufacturing science and technology potential, science and technology support potential and science and technology diffusion potential. The development stability of the whole science and technology potential is different in different levels, and the advantages and disadvantages of the science and technology sub-potential are also different. Finally, according to the evaluation results of science and technology potential of manufacturing industry in our country, combined with the cluster analysis method of K-means, the countermeasures of manufacturing industry with strong, intermediate, weak and weak science and technology potential are studied separately. Put forward the targeted policy recommendations for enhancing the potential of science and technology.
【学位授予单位】：福州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F424.3

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