经济增长与化石能源脱钩测度分析——基于中国和韩国比较

发布时间：2018-11-04 07:56

【摘要】：根据Tapio脱钩理论,使用基于基期的化石能源和经济增长的复合增长率重新定义脱钩弹性,并从经济学角度给出脱钩解释,得出6种脱钩状态。将脱钩弹性分解为增长替代因子、清洁因子和节能因子,并以中国和韩国为对象,实证研究3种因子对脱钩效应的贡献大小。结果表明,增长替代因子、清洁因子和节能因子为韩国化石能源消费与经济增长弱脱钩发挥显著促进作用;3种因子在中国化石能源消费与经济增长脱钩起反向作用力,只是3种因子反向作用力在减弱。这也间接说明增加非化石能源、减缓化石能源消费增速,提高一次能源消费强度,为未来碳减排和保障经济增长提供思考方向。
[Abstract]:According to the Tapio decoupling theory, the decoupling elasticity is redefined by using the compound growth rate of fossil energy and economic growth based on the base period, and the decoupling interpretation is given from the angle of economics, and six decoupling states are obtained. Decoupling elasticity is decomposed into growth substitution factor, clean factor and energy saving factor. Taking China and Korea as examples, the contribution of three factors to decoupling effect is studied empirically. The results showed that the growth substitution factor, clean factor and energy saving factor played a significant role in promoting the weak decoupling between the consumption of fossil energy and economic growth in Korea. The reverse force of the three factors in the decoupling of fossil energy consumption from economic growth in China was only weakened. This also indirectly indicates that increasing non-fossil energy, slowing down the growth of fossil energy consumption, increasing the intensity of primary energy consumption, and providing a direction for future carbon reduction and economic growth.
【作者单位】：南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院//能源软科学研究中心;南京林业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：江苏省研究生培养创新工程、中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目“基于碳税的行业碳减排压力的传导研究”(KYZZ_0097) 江苏省教育厅高校哲学社会科学项目“基于碳税的碳减排压力的传导与转嫁研究”(2014SJB032) 教育部博士点基金项目“中国区域碳减排责任划分研究——基于技术效率与空间差异视角”(20123218110028) 国家自然科学基金项目“碳导入视角下新能源发电项目投资与调度问题研究”(71573121)
【分类号】：F124;F131.26;F416.2

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