中国纺织服装出口竞争力解析

发布时间：2018-12-13 19:10

【摘要】：纺织服装产业是我国在全球出口贸易中具有比较优势的产业,行业进入门槛低,劳动力密集,使得纺织服装产业成为各新兴经济体工业化的不可忽视的产业品类。1995年WTO签订《纺织品与服装协定》(ATC)规定在《多边纤维协定(Multi-fiber Arrangement, MFA)》中所制定的配额制度需分阶段取消。2001年中国加入世界贸易组织以来一直为世界纺织服装贸易的第一大供应国。但在2008年,由美国次贷危机引发的全球金融危机使得全球经济萎缩,纺织服装出口需求下降,同样影响到中国纺织服装出口的发展。本文在前人文献研究的基础上充分解读中国在世界纺织服装出口市场中地位的变化,了解中国纺织服装出口市场结构的变化,了解纺织服装出口商品结构的变化,并评价我国纺织服装出口竞争力。而后通过CMS方法,解析纺织服装出口贸易量增长影响因素对其增长的影响程度。主要结论如下：(1)全球贸易配额制度的消亡和中国融入世界贸易组织使得中国纺织服装出口迅速发展,成为该市场的第一大供应国,并具有绝对优势,但贸易摩擦并未消失,各类贸易壁垒仍然限制中国的纺织服装出口,同时纺织服装出口市场竞争加剧。(2)中国纺织服装品类中,SITC 84服装类具有出口强竞争力,次之为SITC 65纺织纱线制成品,而SITC 26纺织纤维出口竞争力较弱,贸易竞争力指数为负。(3)恒定市场份额(CMS)将出口竞争力影响因素分为：结构效果、竞争效果和二阶效果,由定量分析发现世界纺织服装进口需求变化对我国纺织服装产品出口额变动影响最大,影响方向为证,其次为竞争效果。我国纺织服装产品竞争效果对增加纺织服装出口额上升和减缓纺织服装出口额下降贡献率均为正。具体竞争效果为负说明我国纺织服装出口结构并不利于我国纺织服装出口量的增加。(4)CMS模型同样阐述了金融危机对我国纺织服装出口的影响,世界性经济衰退是我国2008年至2009年金融危机期间纺织服装出口额降低的最主要因素,贡献率达90.04%,而我国纺织服装出口竞争力的增加则减缓了出口额的降低。
[Abstract]:The textile and clothing industry is an industry with comparative advantages in China's global export trade. The industry has a low entry threshold and is labour-intensive. The textile and clothing industry has become an important industrial category for the industrialization of emerging economies. The Agreement on Textiles and clothing (ATC) signed by the WTO in 1995 stipulates that the Agreement on multilateral fibres (Multi-fiber Arrangement,) China has been the largest supplier of textile and apparel trade in the world since China joined the World Trade Organization in 2001. However, in 2008, the global financial crisis caused by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States caused the global economy to shrink, and the demand for textile and clothing exports declined, which also affected the development of China's textile and clothing exports. On the basis of previous literature, this paper fully interprets the changes of China's position in the world textile and clothing export market, understands the changes in the structure of China's textile and clothing export markets, and understands the changes in the structure of textile and clothing export commodities. And evaluate our textile and clothing export competitiveness. Then, through the CMS method, the paper analyzes the influence of the factors of textile and clothing export volume growth on its growth. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) the demise of the global trade quota system and China's accession to the World Trade Organization have made China's textile and clothing exports develop rapidly and become the largest supplier of the market, with absolute advantages. However, trade friction has not disappeared, all kinds of trade barriers still restrict China's textile and clothing exports, and the textile and clothing export market competition is intensified. (2) in China's textile and clothing categories, the SITC 84 clothing category has strong export competitiveness. The second is SITC 65 textile yarn manufactured goods, while SITC 26 textile fiber export competitiveness is weak, trade competitiveness index is negative. (3) constant market share (CMS) divides export competitiveness factors into: structure effect, From the quantitative analysis, it is found that the change of world textile and clothing import demand has the greatest influence on the change of export value of China's textile and clothing products, the direction of influence is the evidence, and the second is the competitive effect. The competitive effect of textile and garment products in China contributes positively to increasing the export value of textile and clothing and slowing down the decline of textile and garment export. The specific competitive effect is negative, which indicates that the export structure of China's textile and clothing is not conducive to the increase of China's textile and garment export. (4) the CMS model also illustrates the impact of the financial crisis on China's textile and garment exports. During the financial crisis from 2008 to 2009, the world economic recession was the most important factor for the decline of textile and clothing exports, with a contribution rate of 90.04, while the increase in the competitiveness of China's textile and clothing exports slowed down the decline of exports.
【学位授予单位】：南京农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.81;F752.62

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