煤炭价格波动对煤炭富集区经济影响研究:以山西为例

发布时间：2019-01-08 16:52

【摘要】：我国煤炭资源大多分布在欠发达地区,这些地区经济增长与矿产资源开发关系密切。近年来,由于煤炭市场需求乏力、产能过剩以及国外煤炭冲击等原因,煤炭价格波动较大,煤炭富集地区经济也受到一定冲击。文章以山西省为例,基于2005年1月至2014年3月数据,运用计量经济模型分析了煤炭价格波动对山西GDP的影响效力和影响时滞。结果表明:煤炭价格波动对山西GDP具有明显的短期正向和长期正向冲击效力,平均时滞4.5个月。基于以上研究,文章从完善煤炭价格监测预警机制、深化煤矿企业兼并重组,以及加快产业转型步伐等方面提出政策建议,以期为资源富集区可持续发展提供理论依据。
[Abstract]:The coal resources in China are mostly distributed in underdeveloped areas, and the economic growth in these areas is closely related to the exploitation of mineral resources. In recent years, due to the lack of coal market demand, overcapacity and the impact of foreign coal, the coal price fluctuates greatly, and the economy of coal-enriched areas is also impacted to a certain extent. Taking Shanxi Province as an example, based on the data from January 2005 to March 2014, the effect of coal price fluctuation on Shanxi GDP and the influence delay are analyzed by econometric model. The results show that the coal price fluctuation has obvious short-term positive and long-term positive impact on Shanxi GDP with an average delay of 4.5 months. Based on the above research, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions from the aspects of perfecting the mechanism of coal price monitoring and warning, deepening the merger and reorganization of coal enterprises, and speeding up the pace of industrial transformation, in order to provide the theoretical basis for the sustainable development of resource-rich areas.
【作者单位】：太原理工大学经济管理学院;山西省煤炭运销集团有限公司;
【基金】：国家软科学研究计划出版项目“煤炭主体功能区产业集群化模式研究”资助(编号:2011GXS9K003) 国家社会科学基金重点项目“多维视角下采煤沉陷区复合治理研究”资助(编号:14AZD093)
【分类号】：F426.21;F764.1

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