中国汽车产业集中度影响因素实证研究
发布时间：2019-06-12 17:29
【摘要】：汽车产业因具有极高的产业关联性和极强的波及效应而成为许多国家和地区的支柱产业。进入21世纪,我国汽车产业在市场需求和政府政策的双重推动下,步入了发展的快车道。2009年我国汽车产量达到1379.10万辆,成为世界第一生产大国,2013年我国汽车产量提升到2211.68万辆,继续领先于其他国家。但与汽车产业发达国家相比,我国仍然不是汽车生产强国,汽车产业集中度还偏低。偏低的产业集中度会造成两个方面问题：一是绝多数汽车生产企业达不到规模经济,生产成本居高不下；二是不利于技术创新。两者都严重影响着我国汽车产业的整体竞争力,在国内外汽车产业竞争愈加激烈、产能过剩风险进一步加大的背景下,研究如何提高我国汽车产业集中度具有重要的现实意义。 本文在对我国汽车产业集中度现状、演变进程进行分析的基础上,借鉴世界汽车产业发达国家生产集中度的发展趋势,认为极高寡占型的市场结构是我国汽车产业市场结构的发展方向。在定性分析我国汽车产业集中度影响因素的基础上,运用年鉴统计分析、协整理论和向量自回归模型方法,对我国汽车产业集中度的影响因素进行了定量分析。实证结果表明：我国汽车产业市场容量增长率对产业集中度的影响较小；产品差异化程度与产业集中度存在着负相关关系；企业规模、进入壁垒与产业集中度有着正相关关系；外商直接投资对我国汽车产业集中度有一定的正向促进作用。根据以上实证结论,本文提出了促使我国汽车产业集中度进一步提高的政策建议：一是加快行业间的兼并重组,扩大企业规模；二是构建有效的行业进入和退出壁垒；三是继续引进外资,促进汽车产业市场结构的合理化。
[Abstract]:Automobile industry has become the pillar industry of many countries and regions because of its high industrial relevance and strong spillover effect. In the 21st century, China's automobile industry has entered the fast lane of development under the dual promotion of market demand and government policy. In 2009, China's automobile output reached 13.791 million, becoming the largest producer in the world. In 2013, China's automobile output increased to 22.1168 million, continuing to lead other countries. However, compared with the developed countries of the automobile industry, China is still not a powerful country of automobile production, and the concentration of the automobile industry is still on the low side. The low degree of industrial concentration will cause two problems: one is that most automobile production enterprises can not achieve economies of scale and the production cost is high; the other is that it is not conducive to technological innovation. Both of them seriously affect the overall competitiveness of China's automobile industry. Under the background of the increasingly fierce competition in the automobile industry at home and abroad and the further increase of the risk of overcapacity, it is of great practical significance to study how to improve the concentration of China's automobile industry. Based on the analysis of the present situation and evolution process of automobile industry concentration in China, and drawing lessons from the development trend of production concentration in developed countries of automobile industry in the world, this paper holds that the extremely high oligopoly market structure is the development direction of China's automobile industry market structure. On the basis of qualitative analysis of the influencing factors of automobile industry concentration in China, the influencing factors of automobile industry concentration in China are quantitatively analyzed by means of yearbook statistical analysis, cointegration theory and vector autoregression model. The empirical results show that the growth rate of market capacity of automobile industry in China has little influence on the degree of industrial concentration; there is a negative correlation between the degree of product differentiation and industrial concentration; there is a positive correlation between the size of enterprises, barriers to entry and the degree of industrial concentration; and foreign direct investment plays a positive role in promoting the concentration of automobile industry in China. According to the above empirical conclusions, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the concentration of automobile industry in China: one is to speed up the merger and reorganization between industries and expand the scale of enterprises; the other is to construct effective barriers to entry and exit of industries; the third is to continue to introduce foreign capital to promote the rationalization of the market structure of automobile industry.
【学位授予单位】：福建师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.471
[Abstract]:Automobile industry has become the pillar industry of many countries and regions because of its high industrial relevance and strong spillover effect. In the 21st century, China's automobile industry has entered the fast lane of development under the dual promotion of market demand and government policy. In 2009, China's automobile output reached 13.791 million, becoming the largest producer in the world. In 2013, China's automobile output increased to 22.1168 million, continuing to lead other countries. However, compared with the developed countries of the automobile industry, China is still not a powerful country of automobile production, and the concentration of the automobile industry is still on the low side. The low degree of industrial concentration will cause two problems: one is that most automobile production enterprises can not achieve economies of scale and the production cost is high; the other is that it is not conducive to technological innovation. Both of them seriously affect the overall competitiveness of China's automobile industry. Under the background of the increasingly fierce competition in the automobile industry at home and abroad and the further increase of the risk of overcapacity, it is of great practical significance to study how to improve the concentration of China's automobile industry. Based on the analysis of the present situation and evolution process of automobile industry concentration in China, and drawing lessons from the development trend of production concentration in developed countries of automobile industry in the world, this paper holds that the extremely high oligopoly market structure is the development direction of China's automobile industry market structure. On the basis of qualitative analysis of the influencing factors of automobile industry concentration in China, the influencing factors of automobile industry concentration in China are quantitatively analyzed by means of yearbook statistical analysis, cointegration theory and vector autoregression model. The empirical results show that the growth rate of market capacity of automobile industry in China has little influence on the degree of industrial concentration; there is a negative correlation between the degree of product differentiation and industrial concentration; there is a positive correlation between the size of enterprises, barriers to entry and the degree of industrial concentration; and foreign direct investment plays a positive role in promoting the concentration of automobile industry in China. According to the above empirical conclusions, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the concentration of automobile industry in China: one is to speed up the merger and reorganization between industries and expand the scale of enterprises; the other is to construct effective barriers to entry and exit of industries; the third is to continue to introduce foreign capital to promote the rationalization of the market structure of automobile industry.
【学位授予单位】：福建师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.471
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