我国国际收支失衡调节机制与政策研究

发布时间：2018-01-03 12:37

本文关键词：我国国际收支失衡调节机制与政策研究　出处：《吉林财经大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：国际收支失衡是一个关系到我国经济能否平稳可持续发展的重要问题。近年来，随着我国经济的快速增长，我国的国际收支持续呈现巨额双顺差的状态。由于长期的历史因素、政策导向因素、经济结构问题、消费需求等内外部经济大环境的因素，我国国际收支大规模顺差的格局不会迅速消失，并且伴随外汇储备的大幅增长，会加剧国际贸易摩擦和人民币升值的压力，不利于加快经济结构调整和经济发展方式转变。因此，国际收支调节已成为实现内外部经济均衡发展的重要环节。本论文首先从国际货币体系演变的角度，梳理了国际收支调节理论。在此基础上，分析了28年（1985年-2012年）间，我国国际收支经常账户与资本账户的规模、结构变动及失衡情况，表明我国国际收支长期表现为一种失衡的状态，并以双顺差为主。通过深入分析国际收支失衡的原因及影响，本文认为，在当前国际经济背景下，美元本位主导世界货币格局，我国国际收支调机制的建立目标应该以政策调节为主，，市场调节为辅，在结构调整的阵痛期，将调节重点放在扩大内需、完善人民币汇率制度等方面，并基于此，采取相应的调节政策措施，财政政策、货币政策和汇率政策三管齐下，同时，加强国际宏观经济政策协调。
[Abstract]:The balance of payments imbalance is an important issue related to the steady and sustainable development of our economy. In recent years, with the rapid growth of our economy. China's balance of payments continues to show a huge state of double surplus. Due to long-term historical factors, policy guidance factors, economic structure problems, consumer demand and other internal and external economic environment factors. The pattern of large balance of payments surplus will not disappear rapidly, and with the large increase of foreign exchange reserves, it will aggravate the pressure of international trade friction and appreciation of RMB. Therefore, the adjustment of international balance of payments has become an important link to realize the balanced development of internal and external economy. This thesis firstly combs the theory of international balance of payments adjustment from the perspective of the evolution of the international monetary system. On this basis, it analyzes the period of 28 years (1985 to 2012). The scale, structure change and imbalance of China's current account and capital account indicate that China's balance of payments has been in a state of imbalance for a long time. Through in-depth analysis of the causes and effects of the imbalance of international balance of payments, this paper argues that under the current international economic background, the dollar standard dominates the world monetary pattern. In the painful period of structural adjustment, we should focus on expanding domestic demand and perfecting RMB exchange rate system. Based on this, we should take corresponding adjustment policy measures, fiscal policy, monetary policy and exchange rate policy, and strengthen the coordination of international macroeconomic policy at the same time.
【学位授予单位】：吉林财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.6

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