区域“十二五”资金供求预测与融资对策研究

发布时间：2018-01-14 08:03

本文关键词：区域“十二五”资金供求预测与融资对策研究　出处：《中央财经大学学报》2012年07期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：资金供求的预测分析是区域"十二五"发展研究中的重要部分。论文首先运用ARIMA模型对区域宏观经济发展情况进行预测分析。其次根据各领域投资的总体情况,进行投资需求预测,在此基础上,通过区域投资总体需求与各融资渠道资金供给能力的对比综合分析,测算资金缺口规模。最后,论文以江西省为实例对其"十二五"期间资金供求情况进行了预测。不仅如此,为解决存在的资金缺口问题,笔者还针对银行信贷资金、直接融资、民间投资以及利用外资等不同方面,提出相应的融资对策。
[Abstract]:Prediction and analysis of the supply and demand of funds is an important part of regional development in the "12th Five-Year". Firstly, ARIMA model is used to forecast and Analysis on the development of regional macro economy. The overall situation based on the various areas of investment, investment demand forecast, on the basis of comprehensive analysis by comparing the overall demand of regional investment and financing channels of capital supply the estimated funding gap size. Finally, the paper forecast in Jiangxi Province as an example of the "12th Five-Year" during the supply and demand of funds. Moreover, in order to solve the existing problems of lack of funds for export, in allusion to the bank credit funds, direct financing, private investment and use of foreign capital in different aspects, put forward corresponding countermeasures of financing.

【作者单位】：中央财经大学;
【分类号】：F127;F832.48;F224
【正文快照】： 一、引言在考虑宏观经济形势发展的基础上,将未来经济发展情景融入到计量模型中,可以通过定性和定量相结合的方法,预测未来“十二五”期间区域经济总体发展情况以及投资需求状况。同时,还可以从国家预算内资金、信贷资金、利用外资、自筹资金、其他资金来源五个方面预测“十二

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