海峡两岸金融合作对贸易发展的影响研究

发布时间：2018-03-16 23:05

本文选题：海峡两岸　切入点：金融合作　出处：《河北工业大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：近年来，随着海峡两岸经贸往来的日趋频繁，大陆地区十八大报告提出的保持对台政策的“五个不会变”，以及台湾地区提出的“黄金十年，和平两岸”政治远景，为两岸投资、经贸和金融等领域的合作与交流营造了良好的经济和政治环境。当前，尤以两岸金融和贸易领域的合作为世人瞩目。台湾地区国民党重新执政以来，两岸在经贸和金融领域的合作取得了显著成效，，两岸《海峡两岸金融合作协议》、《两岸经济合作架构协议》和《海峡两岸服务贸易协议》等一系列合作框架协议的签署，推动了两岸贸易和金融合作的深入发展。本文从两岸金融合作对贸易发展的影响视角探讨两岸如何加强金融合作与交流以推动两岸贸易的发展。通过对当前两岸金融合作与贸易发展现状的分析，得出两岸金融合作与贸易发展中面临着机构互设不对称性、政治不确定性、监管层次较低、法律不健全以及贸易发展不平衡性等问题。而后提出了两岸金融合作通过规模经济、技术进步、分散风险以及金融制度等机制对贸易发展产生影响，同时论述了两岸银行业务合作对两岸贸易发展的促进作用。根据收集的两岸金融与贸易数据，通过构建VAR模型实证检验了两岸金融合作对贸易发展的影响，得出两岸金融合作各领域对两岸贸易规模和结构具有促进作用，并通过脉冲响应函数和方差分析得出其影响时滞关系和贡献程度。最后，基于实证分析结果，并结合当前两岸金融合作中存在的问题，从促进两岸贸易发展的角度提出了深化两岸金融合作的政策建议。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the increasingly frequent economic and trade exchanges between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, the "five immutable" policies to maintain the Taiwan policy proposed in the report of the 18 National Congress of the mainland region and the "golden decade, peaceful cross-strait" political vision put forward by the Taiwan region have made investments for the two sides of the Taiwan Strait. Cooperation and exchanges in the fields of economy, trade and finance have created a good economic and political environment. At present, cooperation between the two sides of the strait in finance and trade has attracted worldwide attention. Since the return of the KMT to power in the Taiwan region, Remarkable results have been achieved in cross-strait cooperation in the economic, trade and financial fields. The signing of a series of cooperation framework agreements between the two sides of the strait, such as the Agreement on Financial Cooperation between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, the Framework Agreement on Cross-Strait Economic Cooperation, and the Agreement on Service Trade between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait. It has promoted the further development of cross-strait trade and financial cooperation. From the perspective of the impact of cross-strait financial cooperation on the development of trade, this paper discusses how to strengthen financial cooperation and exchanges between the two sides of the strait in order to promote the development of cross-strait trade. It is concluded that the cross-straits financial cooperation and trade development are faced with such problems as the asymmetry of the establishment of institutions, the political uncertainty, the low level of supervision, the imperfect laws and the uneven development of trade. Then, it is proposed that cross-strait financial cooperation should pass economies of scale. Technological progress, risk diversification and financial systems have an impact on the development of trade. At the same time, the role of cross-strait banking cooperation in promoting cross-strait trade development is discussed. Based on the collected cross-strait financial and trade data, This paper empirically tests the impact of cross-strait financial cooperation on the development of trade through the construction of VAR model, and draws a conclusion that various fields of cross-strait financial cooperation can promote the scale and structure of cross-strait trade. Finally, based on the results of empirical analysis, and combining with the existing problems in cross-strait financial cooperation, the relationship between the delay and the degree of contribution is obtained through impulse response function and variance analysis. From the perspective of promoting the development of cross-strait trade, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions for deepening cross-strait financial cooperation.
【学位授予单位】：河北工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.7;F727

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