全球化背景下中国金融安全的热钱隐患分析

发布时间：2018-03-21 16:46

本文选题：全球化　切入点：热钱　出处：《天津财经大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着经济全球化的重心从贸易全球化转向资本全球化,作为资本全球化主要表现之一的金融全球化对各国经济的影响逐渐加深。金融在现代市场经济中处于核心地位,决定着一国微观生产要素的优化配置,影响着一国宏观经济的顺畅运行,因此金融安全在一国经济安全中的地位也日益凸显。近年来,金融创新和金融衍生工具不断发展,使得虚拟经济迅猛成长,资金在跨国间的流动也变得日益频繁。目前的国际市场,每天都有上千亿的资金从一个地方转移到世界的另一个地方这种短期的资本流动除了给流入国带来商机和经济利益之外,也隐藏着巨大的经济风险,给流入国带来巨大的经济损失,甚至引发金融危机和经济危机。纵观人类历史的1992年、1994年、1997年、1999年、2001年世界分别发生了欧洲货币体系危机、墨西哥金融危机、东南亚金融危机、巴西金融危机、阿根廷危机等五次大的金融货币危机。尽管每次危机的表现形式各有千秋,但是背后总与热钱的流动有着密切的关系。近年来,我国逐渐融入了世界经济的浪潮中,外贸依存度不断提高,呈现出开放格局下的经济快速增长趋势,使我国逐渐成为热钱逐利的新兴市场。全文在描述热钱的定义及特征的前提下,分析了世界上三次热钱冲击某些经济体的案例以及对我国保障金融安全的启示,对近几年涌入我国的热钱进行量化分析,找出我国金融及经济领域所面临的重大隐患,最后提出我国防范热钱冲击应采取的政策措施。全文分为以下几个部分：第一部分是导论,包括论文的选题背景选题意义、文献综述、概念界定和研究方法等内容；第二部分是理论梳理,主要包括与热钱相关的利率理论、汇率理论以及其他理论等；第三部分是对历史回顾,通过分析几次热钱冲击得出容易形成热钱冲击的条件；第四部分是对中国现状进行分析,包括我国的经济条件、热钱存在的情况以及对我国金融安全产生的影响；第五部分是针对热钱对我国金融安全的影响提出相应的对策。
[Abstract]:With the shift of economic globalization from trade globalization to capital globalization, financial globalization, as one of the main manifestations of capital globalization, has gradually deepened its impact on the economies of all countries. Finance is at the core of the modern market economy. It determines the optimal allocation of microcosmic factors of production of a country and affects the smooth operation of a country's macro-economy. Therefore, the position of financial security in a country's economic security is also increasingly prominent. In recent years, financial innovation and financial derivatives have been developing constantly. As a result of the rapid growth of the virtual economy, the flow of capital across borders has become increasingly frequent. Every day, hundreds of billions of dollars of money are transferred from one place to another in the world. This short-term capital flow not only brings business opportunities and economic benefits to the recipient countries, but also hides enormous economic risks. It has brought huge economic losses to the inflow countries, and even caused financial and economic crises. Throughout the history of mankind, on 1992, 1994, 1997, 1997, 1999, the crisis of the European Monetary system, the financial crisis in Mexico, and the financial crisis in Southeast Asia occurred in the world respectively. Five major financial and monetary crises, such as the Brazilian financial crisis and the Argentine crisis, have been closely related to the flow of hot money in recent years, despite their various manifestations. China has gradually integrated into the tide of the world economy, and the dependence on foreign trade has been increasing constantly, showing the trend of rapid economic growth under the opening up pattern. On the premise of describing the definition and characteristics of hot money, the paper analyzes the cases of three hot money shocks to some economies in the world and the enlightenment to our financial security. Through the quantitative analysis of the hot money pouring into our country in recent years, we can find out the major hidden dangers that our country faces in the financial and economic fields. The first part is the introduction, including the significance of the topic, literature review, concept definition and research methods. The second part is theoretical combing, including interest rate theory, exchange rate theory and other theories related to hot money, etc. Part 4th is an analysis of the current situation of China, including the economic conditions, the existence of hot money and the impact on our financial security. Part 5th is aimed at the impact of hot money on the financial security of China.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.6

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