农业资金投入促进广西农业经济增长的实证分析

发布时间：2018-05-31 01:03

本文选题：农业信贷 + 财政支农　；参考：《广西师范大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：农业经济增长是经济学家们一直以来所关注和所研究的焦点课题之一,经济学家们对农业经济增长的源泉在不同的发展阶段和不同的历史时期给出了不一样的解释。农业经济增长的一个非常关键的因素就是资金的投入,资金的投入主要来源于政府和金融机构,财政资金的投入和金融信贷资金的投入是农业资金的主要来源。改革开放以来,虽然广西农业信贷总额增长速度比较快,但是与全国水平的相比,广西的农业信贷投入仍然是不足的；与全国水平的财政支农支出对比,广西的财政支农支出比较低,不足以支持农业经济的发展；广西农业经济持续增长,但是增长率不稳定,广西农业经济与全国水平的农业经济还存在一定差距,广西农业GDP占GDP比重比较大,广西农业经济在经济增长中占据很重要的地位。我们从绝对规模和相对规模两个方面对农业资金促进广西农业经济增长的现状进行了系统全面的描述性分析。基于C-D生产函数模型,加入金融要素,构建出能够反映农业信贷、财政支农与农业经济增长关系的模型,利用广西14个地级市(其中来宾市并入柳州市,崇左市并入南宁市)2001年-2011年11年的面板数据,在考虑了机械化程度、城镇化和农村固定资产投资的条件下,运用面板数据的单位根检验、协整检验,对广西农业信贷、财政支农与农业经济增长的关系进行了实证研究。研究的结果表明,广西农业信贷、财政支农与农业经济增长存在长期稳定的关系,并且农业信贷、财政支农对农业经济增长均有显著的促进作用,但农业信贷的作用(产出弹性为0.224678)明显大于财政支农(产出弹性为0.118522)的作用。此外,农村固定资产投资对广西农业经济增长也有显著的影响(产出弹性为0.088076)；而机械化程度和城镇化对广西农业经济增长没有显著影响,但城镇化的产出弹性为0.098623,说明城镇化水平的提高在一定程度上有助于农业经济的增长。为了促进广西农业经济持续健康稳定的发展,使农业与其他产业保持协调发展,广西在农业投入方面,必需不断加强农村金融工具、金融产品和金融制度的创新；加大财政支农的支出力度,保障财政支农投入水平提高；促进城镇化水平的提高,不断调整农业产业结构趋向合理化；加大农村固定资产投资对广西农业经济的投入。
[Abstract]:Agricultural economic growth is one of the focal topics that economists have been paying close attention to and studying all the time. Economists have given different explanations to the headspring of agricultural economic growth in different stages of development and different historical periods. One of the key factors of agricultural economic growth is the input of funds, which mainly comes from the government and financial institutions. The input of financial funds and financial credit funds is the main source of agricultural funds. Since the reform and opening up, although the total amount of agricultural credit in Guangxi has increased relatively rapidly, compared with the national level, the investment in agricultural credit in Guangxi is still insufficient; compared with the national level of fiscal expenditure on supporting agriculture, Guangxi's fiscal expenditure on supporting agriculture is relatively low, which is not enough to support the development of the agricultural economy. Guangxi's agricultural economy continues to grow, but the growth rate is unstable, and there is still a certain gap between Guangxi's agricultural economy and the agricultural economy at the national level. Guangxi's agricultural GDP accounts for a large proportion of GDP, and Guangxi's agricultural economy plays an important role in economic growth. This paper makes a systematic and comprehensive descriptive analysis of the current situation of agricultural funds promoting the agricultural economic growth in Guangxi from the two aspects of absolute scale and relative scale. Based on C-D production function model and adding financial elements, a model which can reflect the relationship between agricultural credit, financial support for agriculture and agricultural economic growth is constructed, and 14 prefecture-level cities in Guangxi are used (among them, Laibin City is incorporated into Liuzhou City. The panel data of 11 years from 2001 to 2011 take into account the degree of mechanization, urbanization and rural fixed assets investment, and apply the unit root test and cointegration test of panel data to Guangxi agricultural credit. The relationship between financial support for agriculture and agricultural economic growth is studied empirically. The results show that there is a long-term and stable relationship between agricultural credit, financial support for agriculture and agricultural economic growth in Guangxi, and agricultural credit and financial support for agriculture play a significant role in promoting agricultural economic growth. But the function of agricultural credit (output elasticity is 0.224678) is larger than that of fiscal support agriculture (output elasticity is 0.118522). In addition, fixed asset investment in rural areas also has a significant impact on the agricultural economic growth in Guangxi (the output elasticity is 0.088076), while the degree of mechanization and urbanization has no significant impact on the agricultural economic growth in Guangxi. However, the output elasticity of urbanization is 0.098623, which indicates that the improvement of urbanization level is helpful to the growth of agricultural economy to some extent. In order to promote the sustainable, healthy and stable development of Guangxi's agricultural economy and maintain the coordinated development of agriculture and other industries, Guangxi must constantly strengthen the innovation of rural financial instruments, financial products and financial system in the aspect of agricultural input. To increase the expenditure of financial support to agriculture, to ensure the level of financial support for agriculture to improve; to promote the level of urbanization, constantly adjust the trend of agricultural industrial structure rationalization; to increase investment in rural fixed assets investment in Guangxi's agricultural economy.
【学位授予单位】：广西师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.43;F812.8;F323

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