进出口贸易摩擦舆情预警分析系统研究

发布时间：2018-01-08 22:30

本文关键词：进出口贸易摩擦舆情预警分析系统研究　出处：《南京理工大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：本文首先阐述贸易摩擦的研究背景和研究意义,通过对进出口贸易摩擦和舆情预警两方面的文献综述,指出国内外研究现状及存在的问题,并提出本文的主要研究内容和方法;其次概述进出口贸易摩擦和舆情预警理论,界定其内涵、特征、作用、现状等方面;随后对江苏省进出口贸易摩擦现状及相关数据进行案例研究;在理论概述和案例研究的基础上,构建进出口贸易摩擦预警分析模型;最后,基于预警模型设计并实现贸易摩擦舆情预警分析系统,进行预警结果展示及系统应用研究。本文的主要研究结论包括:(1)构建进出口贸易摩擦舆情预警分析模型。模型构建主要包括三部分:首先是对贸易摩擦舆情预警指标体系的设计。在贸易摩擦理论和舆情预警理论的基础上,结合实际贸易摩擦数据的分析,初步筛选出所需预警指标;其次通过相关研究成果借鉴和专家调研、问卷等途径,对指标进行筛选和修正,最终从经济、贸易、技术和健康环境四个层面构建贸易摩擦舆情预警指标体系;最后基于层次分析法,计算各指标权重;同时设定预警风险等级,形成进出口贸易摩擦舆情预警分析模型。根据预警模型可计算各产品的风险等级。这一部分是贸易摩擦舆情预警分析系统构建的核心与基础,对贸易活动的平稳快速发展具有重要的意义。(2)建立江苏省进出口贸易摩擦舆情预警分析系统,并进行应用研究。以贸易摩擦舆情预警分析模型为核心内容,设计并开发贸易摩擦舆情预警分析系统,实现贸易摩擦数据的统计分析、趋势展示、风险分析、风险预警及产业应对等功能。系统支持对贸易活动信息资源的整合分析与关联挖掘,支持对存在隐患或者不利于贸易活动运作的信息进行及时的防控与预警工作,能够为相关行业或企事业单位提供贸易摩擦风险应对措施和建议。本系统对江苏省技术性贸易壁垒风险预警领域具有实际效用,对提高其贸易摩擦的风险应对和风险管控有重要意义。
[Abstract]:This paper first describes the research background and significance of trade friction, through the import and export trade friction and public opinion early warning literature review, pointed out the domestic and foreign research status and existing problems. The main contents and methods of this paper are put forward. Secondly, it outlines the import and export trade friction and public opinion early warning theory, defines its connotation, characteristics, function, current situation and so on; Then the case study on the current situation and relevant data of import and export trade friction in Jiangsu Province is carried out. On the basis of theoretical overview and case study, an early warning analysis model of import and export trade friction is constructed. Finally, based on the early warning model design and implementation of trade friction public opinion early warning analysis system. Early warning results display and system application research. The main conclusions of this paper include: 1). The model consists of three parts: first, the design of the index system of trade friction public opinion early warning, on the basis of trade friction theory and public opinion early warning theory. Combining with the analysis of the actual trade friction data, the necessary early warning index is preliminarily screened out. Secondly, through the relevant research results and expert research, questionnaire and other ways to screen and revise the indicators, finally from the economic, trade, technology and health environment four levels of trade friction public opinion early warning index system; Finally, based on the analytic hierarchy process, the weight of each index is calculated. At the same time set the warning risk level. According to the pre-warning model, the risk level of each product can be calculated. This part is the core and foundation of the trade friction public opinion early-warning analysis system. It is of great significance for the smooth and rapid development of trade activities to establish the public opinion early warning and analysis system of import and export trade friction in Jiangsu Province. And carries on the application research. Regarding the trade friction public opinion early warning analysis model as the core content, designs and develops the trade friction public opinion early warning analysis system, realizes the trade friction data statistical analysis, the trend display, the risk analysis. Risk warning and industry response functions. The system supports the integration analysis and association mining of information resources of trade activities. To support timely prevention, control and early warning of information that has hidden dangers or is not conducive to the operation of trade activities. The system can provide trade friction risk countermeasures and suggestions for related industries or enterprises. This system has practical effect on the risk early warning field of technical barriers to trade in Jiangsu Province. It is of great significance to improve the risk management and management of trade friction.
【学位授予单位】：南京理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F752.6

【相似文献】