中国省域流通效率统计研究

发布时间：2018-01-13 20:21

本文关键词：中国省域流通效率统计研究　出处：《浙江工商大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着全面深化改革和"互联网+"计划的不断推进,"互联网+流通"正在成为大众创业、万众创新最具活力的领域,这也是李克强总理一直关心的领域。在2016年4月6日的国务院常务会议上总理再次强调,中国要抢占新一轮流通业革命的"先机"。开展最新一轮的"流通业革命",推进"互联网+流通",对于发展经济、解决就业压力、促进供给侧结构性改革,都具有相当积极的意义。随着国务院《关于深入实施"互联网+流通"行动计划的意见》的实施,我国流通业发展模式也在逐步探索中有所创新。但同时也必须看到,流通业转型升级并不理想,面临着诸如成本高、效率低下等新挑战。不断创新、提升效率是流通业持续发展的动力和源泉,于是如何科学审视和客观评估流通业的效率,就成为推动流通业改革发展的当务之急。因此,正确认识流通业的发展态势,全面了解我国流通效率的实际利用情况,深入研究流通效率在地区间的差异性,不仅关系到流通业革命的良好推进,也关系到我国经济的平稳持续发展。本文以我国流通效率为研究对象,首先对流通效率内涵及其测度方法的相关文献进行梳理,据此界定出本文的流通效率是流通业投入产出效率,本文的流通业范围包括批发零售业、住宿餐饮业、交通运输仓储邮政业、租赁和商务服务业、居民服务和其他服务业这五个行业。基于对我国流通业发展现状的描述统计分析得出流通业规模持续扩大、经济社会贡献更加凸显、现代化水平与国际化程度大大提高的结论。其次,在传统DEA模型基础上引入"博弈交叉"思想,运用博弈交叉效率模型对2005-2014年我国30个省市的流通业投入产出效率进行较为客观真实的测算,结果表明:我国总体的流通业投入产出效率呈现先升后降的发展趋势,各省流通业投入产出效率大致呈现东高西低的特点。然后,引入函数性数据分析技术使我国30个省市的流通效率得分得以可视化呈现,并综合利用其有效信息进行函数性聚类分析,得出结论:根据流通效率水平,我国可划分为四类地区。第一类地区包括山东等7个省市,代表我国流通业投入产出效率最高水平;第二类地区包括北京等4个省市,是我国流通效率朝利好方向发展的地区;第三类地区包括辽宁、山西、广西及大部分中西部省市,共计12省,属于流通效率利用情况不断恶化的地区;第四类地区包括海南、江西、重庆及其他西部省市共计7个省市,是我国流通业投入产出效率相对落后且几乎没有进步趋势的地区。最后,针对上述结论,本文就如何促进我国流通业发展与提高流通效率提出了一些浅见,希望能为流通业转型升级提供帮助。
[Abstract]:With the overall deepening of reform and the "Internet" plan to continue to promote, "Internet circulation" is becoming the most dynamic field of mass entrepreneurship and innovation. This is also an area of concern to Premier Li Keqiang, who stressed again at an executive meeting of the State Council on April 6th 2016. China will seize the "first chance" of a new round of circulation revolution. Launching the latest round of "circulation revolution" and promoting "Internet circulation" will help to develop the economy, solve employment pressure, and promote supply-side structural reform. With the implementation of the State Council's opinions on the in-depth implementation of the "Internet Circulation" Action Plan. The development mode of circulation industry in our country is also innovating in the process of gradual exploration. But at the same time, we must also see that the transformation and upgrading of circulation industry is not ideal, facing new challenges such as high cost, low efficiency and so on. The promotion of efficiency is the driving force and source of the sustainable development of circulation industry, so how to scientifically examine and objectively evaluate the efficiency of circulation industry becomes the urgent task to promote the reform and development of circulation industry. The correct understanding of the development situation of circulation industry, comprehensive understanding of the actual use of circulation efficiency in China, in-depth study of regional differences in circulation efficiency, not only related to the circulation revolution. It is also related to the steady and sustainable development of our economy. This paper takes the circulation efficiency of our country as the research object, firstly combs the relevant literature on the connotation of circulation efficiency and its measurement methods. This paper defines the circulation efficiency as the input-output efficiency of circulation industry. The scope of circulation includes wholesale and retail trade, accommodation and catering industry, transportation, warehousing, postal industry, leasing and business services. Based on the statistical analysis of the current situation of the development of circulation industry in China, the scale of circulation industry continues to expand, and the economic and social contribution is more prominent. The conclusion that the level of modernization and the degree of internationalization are greatly improved. Secondly, the concept of "game crossover" is introduced on the basis of traditional DEA model. By using the cross-efficiency model of game theory, the input-output efficiency of circulation industry in 30 provinces and cities of China from 2005 to 2014 is measured objectively and truly. The results show that the overall input-output efficiency of circulation industry in China is rising first and then decreasing, and the input-output efficiency of circulation industry in various provinces shows the characteristics of East High and West low. The introduction of functional data analysis technology enables 30 provinces and cities in China to visualize the score of circulation efficiency, and comprehensive use of its effective information for functional clustering analysis, draw a conclusion: according to the level of circulation efficiency. China can be divided into four categories. The first category includes seven provinces and cities, including Shandong Province, which represent the highest input-output efficiency of circulation industry in China. The second category includes four provinces and cities, such as Beijing, which are the areas in which the circulation efficiency of our country is developing in the direction of favorable development. The third category includes Liaoning, Shanxi, Guangxi and most of the central and western provinces, a total of 12 provinces, belong to the circulation efficiency of the deteriorating situation in the region; 4th types of areas including Hainan Jiangxi Chongqing and other western provinces and cities a total of 7 provinces and cities are relatively backward input-output efficiency of circulation industry in China and almost no progress trend. This paper puts forward some opinions on how to promote the development of circulation industry and improve the circulation efficiency, hoping to provide help for the transformation and upgrading of circulation industry.
【学位授予单位】：浙江工商大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F724

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