中国服务贸易影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-01-19 13:10

本文关键词： 服务贸易引力模型影响因素实证分析　出处：《云南财经大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：近几年,随着世界经济的迅速发展,服务贸易在全球经济竞争中的地位变得日趋重要。它不仅成为了影响各国经济的主要因素,同时也成为了一国综合国际竞争力的重要衡量标准。自从加入世界贸易组织后,中国的服务贸易也获得了飞速的发展,服务贸易总额不断扩大以及服务贸易对我国经济增长的贡献不断增加,但是服务贸易的发展仍然存在一定的问题,与其它国家相比仍存在一定的差距。因此,本文觉得研究我国服务贸易发展的现状以及其影响因素具有很重要的意义,通过分析研究找出影响因素,不断发现提高我国服务贸易国际竞争力的方法与途径,从而在促进我国服务贸易不断提升的同时也促进了我国经济的繁荣发展。本文运用了实证分析与理论分析相结合的方法,同时也结合了一定的定量分析对当前我国服务贸易发展的现状以及影响服务贸易发展的因素进行了分析与研究。本文的具体安排为首先明确了本文的研究背景、研究目的与意义、研究思路与方法以及本文的创新之处与不足。其次对服务贸易的基本概念进行了概述,同时还具体介绍了关于我国服务贸易发展现状、服务贸易的制约因素以及关于引力模型应用的文献综述。随后分析了我国服务贸易发展的现状与我国服务贸易的影响机制,通过运用引力模型对本文提出的中国双边服务贸易的影响因素进行回归分析从而找出了其决定因素,结果表明:进口国的人均国民生产总值、出口国的人均国民生产总值、物理距离、以及出口国对于本国企业的贷款金额均表现出不同的显著性。其中进口国人均国民生产总值、出口国人均国民生产总值以及出口国对本国企业的贷款金额均表现出来与服务贸易正向的影响,而物理距离则表现出了与服务贸易负相关的影响。最后根据本文的回归分析的结果以及服务贸易的现状提出了七个有利于我国服务贸易发展建议,分别为大力发展经济,优化服务贸易产业结构、逐步均衡地域性发展,改善服务贸易对内对外过度集中化、逐步改善我国服务贸易的协调体制和管理体制、增加服务贸易企业资金来源渠道,逐步改善中小企业融资难的问题、重视对服务贸易相关专业的教育,加大对服务贸易专业人才的培育力度、发挥政府在服务贸易发展中的积极作用以及加强服务贸易新兴行业的创新力度,扩大服务需求。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the rapid development of the world economy, the status of trade in services in the global economic competition has become increasingly important. At the same time, it has become an important measure of a country's comprehensive international competitiveness. Since China's accession to the World Trade Organization, China's trade in services has also achieved rapid development. The total amount of service trade continues to expand and the contribution of service trade to China's economic growth continues to increase, but there are still some problems in the development of service trade, compared with other countries, there is still a certain gap. This paper thinks that it is of great significance to study the current situation of our country's service trade development and its influencing factors. Through the analysis and research, we can find out the ways and means to improve the international competitiveness of our country's service trade. In order to promote the continuous improvement of China's trade in services, but also to promote the prosperity of China's economy. This paper uses the combination of empirical analysis and theoretical analysis method. At the same time, combined with a certain quantitative analysis of the current situation of China's service trade development and the factors affecting the development of service trade are analyzed and studied. The purpose and significance of the study, research ideas and methods as well as the innovations and shortcomings of this paper. Secondly, the basic concept of trade in services is summarized, and the current situation of the development of service trade in China is also introduced. The restrictive factors of service trade and the literature review on the application of gravity model. Then it analyzes the current situation of the development of China's service trade and the influence mechanism of our country's service trade. By using the gravity model to analyze the influencing factors of China's bilateral trade in services, the determinants are found out. The results show that the per capita GNP of the importing countries is higher than that of the importing countries. The per capita GNP of exporting countries, physical distance, and the amount of loans of exporting countries to their own enterprises all show different significance, among which the average GDP of importing countries is different. The per capita gross national product (GNP) of exporting countries and the amount of loans from exporting countries to domestic enterprises all show a positive impact on trade in services. The physical distance shows the negative correlation with service trade. Finally, according to the results of regression analysis and the current situation of service trade, seven suggestions are put forward for the development of service trade in China. Respectively for vigorously developing the economy, optimizing the industrial structure of service trade, gradually balancing regional development, improving the excessive concentration of service trade inside and outside, and gradually improving the coordination system and management system of China's service trade. We should increase the sources of funds for service trade enterprises, gradually improve the financing difficulties of small and medium-sized enterprises, attach importance to the education of service trade related majors, and increase the training of service trade professionals. Give play to the positive role of the government in the development of service trade and strengthen the innovation of the new industry of service trade to expand the service demand.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.68

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