中国劳动工资增长率对出口竞争力的影响分析

发布时间：2018-03-08 08:59

本文选题：劳动工资增长率　切入点：出口竞争力　出处：《广东外语外贸大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着国际贸易的不断发展,中国的国际竞争力不断增强。出口贸易的快速增长有力地推动中国经济持续增长,劳动者收入增加。改革开放以来,中国的出口贸易呈现一种急剧扩张的态势,但是在出口贸易和宏观经济快速增长的同时,劳动收入的比重却越来越低。本文结合前人的研究成果,从动态增速的角度考察劳动工资增长率与出口竞争力之间的关系。本文结合理论分析和实证分析研究劳动工资增长率对出口贸易利润率的影响,实证模型以15个制造业细分行业为截面,选取2007年~2012年各行业的出口贸易利润增长率、实际人均工资增长率、利息支出、人民币实际有效汇率指数、工业原材料购进价格指数以及中美人均国内生产总值增长率为指标,通过面板模型分析各个因素对出口竞争力的影响。在实证过程中,首先,本文进行描述性统计分析,检验并处理变量间的相关性和多重共线性问题,在此基础上,利用面板模型普通最小二乘法回归分析变量的关系。实证结果表明,劳动工资增长率与出口贸易利润增长率之间存在负相关关系,劳动工资增长速度快于出口贸易利润增长速度时,贸易利润增加值无法覆盖新增的生产成本,出口竞争力下降。利息支出和人民币汇率与贸易利润增长率也存在负相关关系,但是作用影响并不明显,而美国人均国内市场总值与贸易利润增长率之间存在正相关关系。结合实证模型的结果,本文提出相应的政策建议,在劳动工资上涨的同时,各行业要正确对待劳工标准问题,制定合理的劳动工资水平,大力提高劳动者的生产效率,加强出口竞争力。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of international trade, the international competitiveness of China increased. The rapid growth of exports Chinese effectively promote sustained economic growth, the income of workers increased. Since the reform and opening up, Chinese exports showed a rapid expansion trend, but in the export trade and economic rapid growth at the same time, the proportion of labor income but more and more low. Based on previous research, study the relationship between labor wage growth and export competitiveness from the angle of dynamic growth. This paper combines the theoretical analysis and empirical analysis of the labor wage growth rate influence on export trade margins, an empirical model with 15 manufacturing industries as the section, from 2007 ~2012 in various industries export trade profit growth rate, per capita wage growth rate and interest payments, the RMB real effective exchange rate index, industrial raw materials Material purchase price index and US GDP per capita growth rate as the index, the panel model to analyze the influence of various factors on the export competitiveness. In the empirical process, first of all, this paper makes a descriptive statistical analysis and test the correlation between variables and multicollinearity problems, on this basis, using ordinary least squares regression model analysis of the relationship of variables. The empirical results show that there is a negative correlation between labor wage growth rate and export trade profit growth rate, labor wages grew faster than export profit growth rate, increase the value of trading profits can not cover the new production costs, declining export competitiveness. Interest payments and RMB exchange rate and trade profit growth rate there is a negative correlation, but the effect is not obvious, while the United States per capita gross domestic market and trade profit growth There is a positive correlation between the rate. Combining with the results of empirical analysis, this paper puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations, at the same time the labor wage increases, the industry should correctly deal with the issue of labor standards, develop a reasonable salary level, vigorously improve the labor production efficiency, with strong export competitiveness.

【学位授予单位】：广东外语外贸大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.62;F249.24

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