供给视角下中国生产性服务业发展的影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-04-14 10:00

本文选题：供给管理 + 生产性服务业　；参考：《上海师范大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：经过2008年国际金融危机带来的外部冲击,我国国民经济受到严峻的挑战,通过外需的快速萎缩向我国实体经济传导;国内长期累积的结构性矛盾与体制性问题在经济增速回落时也更加凸显。面对不利的国际经济环境,在工业增长减速的情况下,我国以金融服务、信息服务、流通服务、商务服务、科技服务等为代表的生产性服务业却保持了良好的发展势头,显示出了巨大的发展潜力。发展生产性服务业具有重要的战略意义和现实意义,这不仅符合“十三五”国家战略性新兴产业发展规划,而且有利于我国服务业和整体产业结构的优化升级,能够提高我国参与国际分工的地位,培植动态竞争优势,获取更多的比较利益,还能增强自主创新能力,推动“中国制造”的转型。本文描述了生产性服务业发展的现状,通过供给视角的选择,阐述了生产性服务业存在的各种问题,并分析了生产性服务业出现问题的原因。选取几个主要的供给因素,阐述其对生产性服务业的影响机理,比如人力资本的投入调整生产性服务业的发展路径,就业吸纳能力优化生产性服务业的内部结构,减税则降低企业生产成本,有利于生产性服务业的创新,而技术创新促进生产性服务业的生产效率,工业化程度影响生产性服务业的发展层次。运用2003年至2014年的生产性服务业的相关数据,实证检验生产性服务业的影响因素,把全国30个省市分为东、中、西三块区域来分析,实证结果因各区域的经济发展水平而影响因素的重要性不一样。对于全国整体的影响因素可以看出,这些影响因素对各个区域的重要性,最后根据实证结果及指标权重指数提出切实可行的建议,实证结果表明我国工业化程度对生产性服务业的发展的作用显著,工业化程度的提升从区域层面上看,能够促进生产性服务业的发展,工业化进程和城市化水平越高的地区对生产性服务业的发展越有利,反之会阻碍其发展;而税收负担的提高对服务业增长有显著的负作用,其税收比重对于各地的阻碍作用大小不一,特别是经济不太发达的中部和西部地区,其消极作用更为明显;科学技术的供给对生产性服务业的发展是呈正相关的;人力资本因各地区不同,其显著作用而不同。
[Abstract]:After the external impact brought by the international financial crisis in 2008, the national economy of our country is faced with severe challenges, and through the rapid contraction of external demand, it transmits to the real economy of our country.Domestic long-term accumulation of structural contradictions and systemic problems in the economic growth rate also more prominent.In the face of the unfavourable international economic environment, the producer services represented by financial services, information services, circulation services, business services, scientific and technological services, etc., have maintained a good momentum of development under the circumstance of slowing industrial growth.It shows great potential for development.The development of producer services is of great strategic and practical significance, which is not only in line with the 13th Five-Year Plan, but also conducive to the optimization and upgrading of China's service industry and the overall industrial structure.It can improve the status of China's participation in international division of labor, cultivate dynamic competitive advantage, gain more comparative benefits, enhance the ability of independent innovation and promote the transformation of "made in China".This paper describes the present situation of producer services, expounds the problems existing in producer services through the choice of supply perspective, and analyzes the causes of problems in producer services.Select several main supply factors, expound its influence mechanism on producer service industry, for example, the input of human capital adjusts the development path of producer service industry, the employment absorption ability optimizes the internal structure of producer service industry.Tax reduction will reduce the production cost of enterprises, which is beneficial to the innovation of producer services, while technological innovation will promote the production efficiency of producer services, and the degree of industrialization will affect the level of development of producer services.By using the relevant data of producer services from 2003 to 2014, this paper empirically tests the influencing factors of producer services, and divides 30 provinces and cities into three regions: east, middle and west.Empirical results show that the importance of influencing factors varies according to the level of economic development in different regions.For the whole country, we can see the importance of these factors to each region. Finally, according to the empirical results and the index weight index, we put forward some practical suggestions.The empirical results show that the degree of industrialization plays a significant role in the development of producer services, and the promotion of industrialization can promote the development of producer services at the regional level.Areas with higher levels of industrialization and urbanization are more favourable to the development of producer services, which in turn hinder their development; and the increase in the tax burden has a significant negative effect on the growth of services,The proportion of tax revenue has different hindrance to different regions, especially in the middle and western regions, where the economy is less developed, its negative effect is more obvious, and the supply of science and technology is positively related to the development of producer services.Human capital varies from region to region and from region to region.
【学位授予单位】：上海师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F719

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