发展中国家对中国反倾销的贸易效应：理论分析与实证检验

发布时间：2018-04-16 01:24

本文选题：发展中国家 + 对中国反倾销　；参考：《贵州大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：1995-2013年,全球共有42个国家或地区发起反倾销调查或者采取反倾销措施。其中,23个发展中国家对中国发起反倾销调查631起,占世界对中国发起反倾销调查数量的63.80%;对中国采取反倾销措施457起,占世界对中国采取反倾销措施的63.74%。这说明发展中国家已成为对中国反倾销的主力军。由于反倾销对进出口国的外贸均有不同的影响,因此研究发展中国家对中国反倾销的贸易效应有重要的实践意义。但是,目前的实证研究主要以欧美等发达国家对中国反倾销为样本,较少估计发展中国家对中国反倾销的贸易效应。本文在现有的研究基础上,以1995-2013年发展中国家对中国反倾销的数据,分析发展中国家对中国反倾销的整体情况。结果显示,从增长看,1995-2013年发展中国家对中国发起反倾销调查数平均增长16.40%,对中国采取反倾销措施数平均增长9.28%,均超过发达国家对中国反倾销的平均增长率;从国别看,前5位对中国反倾销的国家是印度、阿根廷、巴西、土耳其、墨西哥;从行业看,前6位被反倾销的行业是普通金属及制品,化学工业品,机器、电子设备及零件,玻璃及陶瓷制品,纺织品,塑胶产品。为检验反倾销的贸易效应,本文采用1995-2012年阿根廷对中国产品的反倾销数据,从贸易破坏效应和转移效应两个方面,估算了阿根廷对中国反倾销的贸易效应。结果表明,反倾销破坏效应最大的是化学工业品;其次是普通金属及制品、机器、电子设备及零件品和矿产品,而在车辆、飞机等运输设备,木制品和杂项制品方面的反倾销贸易破坏效应则不显著。贸易转移效应最大的是化学工业品;其次是普通金属及制品、机器、电子设备及零件品、木制品、车辆、飞机等运输设备、杂项制品、矿产品。基于上述分析,为改善中国在发展中国家市场中的贸易绩效,本文认为中国政府要加大对外贸易的宏观调控力度,行业协会则应增强协调能力,而出口企业要提高经营管理水平,才能有效应对发展中国家对中国的反倾销。
[Abstract]:From 1995 to 2013, 42 countries or regions in the world launched anti-dumping investigations or taken anti-dumping measures.Of these, 631 anti-dumping investigations were initiated against China by 23 developing countries, accounting for 63.80 per cent of the total number of anti-dumping investigations initiated against China in the world, while 457 anti-dumping measures were taken against China, accounting for 63.74 per cent of the anti-dumping measures taken against China in the world.This shows that developing countries have become the main force of anti-dumping against China.Since anti-dumping has different effects on the foreign trade of importing and exporting countries, it is of great practical significance to study the trade effect of developing countries on China.However, the current empirical studies are mainly based on developed countries such as Europe and the United States as a sample of anti-dumping against China, and less estimates of the trade effects of developing countries on China.Based on the existing research, this paper analyzes the whole situation of developing countries' anti-dumping against China based on the data of developing countries' anti-dumping against China from 1995 to 2013.The results show that the number of anti-dumping investigations initiated by developing countries against China from 1995 to 2013 increased by an average of 16.40 from 1995 to 2013, and the number of anti-dumping measures against China increased by an average of 9.28, which was higher than the average growth rate of anti-dumping against China by developed countries.The top five anti-dumping countries against China are India, Argentina, Brazil, Turkey and Mexico. In terms of industry, the top six anti-dumping industries are ordinary metals and products, chemical products, machinery, electronic equipment and parts.Glass and ceramic products, textiles, plastic products.In order to test the trade effect of antidumping, this paper estimates the trade effect of Argentine anti-dumping against China from two aspects of trade damage effect and transfer effect, using the data of Argentina's anti-dumping against Chinese products from 1995 to 2012.The results show that the most destructive effects of anti-dumping are chemical industrial products, followed by ordinary metals and products, machinery, electronic equipment and parts and minerals, and transport equipment such as vehicles, aircraft, etc.Wood products and miscellaneous products of anti-dumping trade damage effect is not significant.The largest effect of trade transfer was in chemical industry, followed by ordinary metals and products, machinery, electronic equipment and spare parts, wood products, vehicles, aircraft and other transport equipment, miscellaneous products, mineral products.Based on the above analysis, in order to improve China's trade performance in the markets of developing countries, this paper holds that the Chinese government should strengthen the macro-control of foreign trade, and the trade associations should enhance their coordination ability.In order to deal with the anti-dumping of developing countries against China, export enterprises should improve their management level.
【学位授予单位】：贵州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.02

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