中国锯材进口及其需求弹性研究

发布时间：2018-04-23 05:30

本文选题：锯材进口 + 需求弹性　；参考：《内蒙古农业大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：我国一系列的重点工程实施之前,中国木材原材料供给主要来自天然林资源,而在重点工程实施后,国内木材原材料的供给受到重创。随着我国经济的快速发展,我国木质家具产业蓬勃发展,增大了我国对木材的需求,而原木作为初级产品,受到俄罗斯等国林业政策的限制,我国转而增大原木的替代品锯材的需求,我国现在已经成为世界上最大的锯材进口国,进一步加大了我国锯材的供需缺口,我国对锯材需求在国内供给不足的情况下,主要依赖海外木材产品市场,有不同结构的锯材需求,但是最近几年,全球环境的破坏,发达国家开始制定一系列的林业政策来保护本国环境,美国的雷斯法案修订案,欧盟木材法案,森林认证,反倾销,反侵权等,导致国际木材供给不确定性,进而会阻碍我国锯材的进口。基于以上的背景,通过研究锯材国际贸易理论,分析研究我国锯材进口的现状,发展历程,锯材结构,我国锯材与木质家具之间的关系,以及与其他木材替代品之间的关系。然后在需求函数、需求弹性理论的基础上,通过运用LA/AIDS模型,分析我国锯材需求弹性,计算我国锯材自价格弹性系数、支出弹性系数以及交叉价格弹性系数,进而可以分析锯材的价格、锯材收入水平对我国锯材进口需求的影响,以及我国锯材8个主要来源国之间的关系是竞争还是互补,最后根据计算结果,做出总结,提出针对我国锯材进口的对策与建议。
[Abstract]:Before the implementation of a series of key projects in China, the supply of timber raw materials in China mainly came from natural forest resources, but after the implementation of the key projects, the supply of domestic wood raw materials was severely damaged. With the rapid development of China's economy, the wood furniture industry in our country is booming, which increases the demand for wood in our country. As a primary product, log is restricted by the forestry policies of Russia and other countries. China has become the largest sawwood importer in the world, which has further increased the gap between supply and demand of sawn timber in China, and the domestic supply of sawn timber is insufficient. Mainly dependent on the overseas timber market, there is demand for different structures of sawwood. But in recent years, with the destruction of the global environment, developed countries have begun to formulate a series of forestry policies to protect their environment. EU timber law, forest certification, antidumping, anti-infringement, etc., lead to uncertainty of international timber supply, which will hinder the import of sawwood in our country. Based on the above background, by studying the theory of international trade of sawn timber, this paper analyzes the present situation, development course, structure of sawn timber, the relationship between sawwood and wood furniture, and the relationship between sawwood and other wood substitutes in China. Then on the basis of demand function and demand elasticity theory, by using LA/AIDS model, the demand elasticity of sawn timber in China is analyzed, and the self-price elasticity coefficient, expenditure elasticity coefficient and cross-price elasticity coefficient are calculated. Then we can analyze the price of sawwood, the influence of sawwood income level on the import demand of sawn timber in China, and whether the relationship between the eight main countries of sawwood in China is competitive or complementary. Finally, according to the results of calculation, we can make a summary. The countermeasures and suggestions for the import of sawn timber in China are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：内蒙古农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F426.88;F752.61

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