中国胶合板出口市场结构研究及优化

发布时间：2018-05-03 13:31

本文选题：胶合板 + 出口市场结构　；参考：《内蒙古农业大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：中国是胶合板第一生产大国和出口大国。自天然林保护工程实施后,国内优质木材资源严重供给不足,制约了胶合板产业的发展。近年来,随着林权制度改革以及配套改革的实施,为胶合板原料的蓄积带来了正能量。但是,当前国际市场变幻莫测,劳动力与木材资源等生产要素成本逐年增加,贸易壁垒频发,中国胶合板出口面临严峻考验,亟需破解发展中的各项瓶颈,保证胶合板出口市场的健康有序发展。本文是以国际贸易理论为理论基础,以中国胶合板出口市场结构为出发点来进行研究的。首先,利用指数分析法对中国胶合板出口市场的集中度、匹配性进行了衡量。其次,对中国胶合板出口市场结构影响因素进行了定性分析,包括资源禀赋、市场需求、市场进入壁垒、贸易双方地理位置、国家贸易政策、胶合板产品自身特点这六个要素,进而通过构建贸易引力模型对出口市场影响因素进行定量分析,并对出口市场潜力进行测算。最后,对中国胶合板出口市场结构的优化,实现胶合板产业的可持续发展提出了合理建议。通过对数据资料的分析论证,本文得出的主要研究结论为:一,中国胶合板出口市场集中程度仍然较高,出口市场结构不稳定;二,中国胶合板出口市场与世界主要进口市场显著相关、相互匹配;三,中国高档胶合板出口数量有限,多数为中低端产品,缺乏竞争优势;四,中国胶合板出口市场环境恶化,贸易壁垒增加;五,中国胶合板出口市场的显著影响因素主要有贸易伙伴国的人口数和人均GDP、森林面积、中国与伙伴国之间的绝对距离、是否为亚太经合组织成员等变量;六,中国对贸易伙伴国的出口潜力差异较大,在47个主要出口市场中,中国对18个国家贸易过度,为潜力衰退型,对11个国家的贸易状态比较理想,为潜力开拓型,对18个国家为贸易不足状态,属于潜力巨大型。
[Abstract]:China is the first production country of plywood and export country. Since the implementation of the natural forest protection project, the supply of high quality wood resources in China has been seriously insufficient, which has restricted the development of plywood industry. In recent years, with the reform of forest property right system and the implementation of supporting reform, the accumulation of plywood raw materials has brought positive energy. However, the current international market is unpredictable, the cost of production factors such as labor force and timber resources is increasing year by year, trade barriers frequently occur, and China's plywood export is facing a severe test. Ensure the healthy and orderly development of plywood export market. Based on the theory of international trade and the structure of Chinese plywood export market, this paper studies the structure of plywood export market. Firstly, the concentration and match of Chinese plywood export market are measured by index analysis method. Secondly, the factors influencing the structure of Chinese plywood export market are qualitatively analyzed, including resource endowment, market demand, market entry barriers, geographical position of both sides of trade, national trade policy, and the characteristics of plywood products themselves. Then, quantitative analysis of the factors affecting export market is carried out by constructing trade gravity model, and the potential of export market is calculated. Finally, reasonable suggestions are put forward to optimize the structure of Chinese plywood export market and realize the sustainable development of plywood industry. Through the analysis and demonstration of the data, the main conclusions of this paper are as follows: first, the concentration of China's plywood export market is still high, and the export market structure is unstable; second, China's plywood export market is significantly related to and matched with the world's major import markets; third, China's high-grade plywood exports are limited in quantity, most of them are low-end products and lack of competitive advantage; fourthly, the environment of China's plywood export market deteriorates. (5) the significant influencing factors of China's plywood export market are mainly the population size and per capita GDP of trading partners, forest area, absolute distance between China and partner countries, whether or not they are variables such as APEC members. China's export potential to its trading partners is quite different. Among the 47 major export markets, China's trade with 18 countries is of a potential recession type, and its trade status with 11 countries is ideal and potential exploitative. For 18 countries for the trade deficit, belongs to the potential huge.
【学位授予单位】：内蒙古农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F752.62;F426.92

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