我国食用菌贸易应对技术性贸易壁垒的博弈分析

发布时间：2018-05-17 13:52

本文选题：食用菌 + 技术性贸易壁垒　；参考：《东北林业大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：食用菌产业作为一个朝阳产业,在加入WTO之后,获得了飞速的发展。我国是食用菌的生产大国,食用菌的年产值较改革开放初期有了翻天覆地的变化,同时也是食用菌的出口大国,我国出口的食用菌在国际市场上占有很大的市场份额,食用菌的贸易额逐年保持顺差,成为我国主要的出口创汇型农产品。与此同时,我国食用菌贸易中遭遇技术性贸易壁垒的事件也频发,如2008年欧盟的“尼古丁”限量事件、2012年美国的“多菌灵”残留事件等。此类事件的频繁发生在很大程度上阻碍了我国食用菌产品的出口。本文从研究我国食用菌的出口贸易现状入手,分析了我国食用菌的产品结构、市场分布状况；并对我国食用菌贸易面临的技术性贸易壁垒现状进行研究,通过VAR模型分析的结果发现：技术性贸易壁垒是阻碍我国食用菌产品出口的重要原因,美日欧设置的TBT对我国出口贸易的影响为负。据此分析结果,本文利用博弈论构建了食用菌出口应对技术贸易壁垒的不完美信息动态博弈模型,得出以下结论：食用菌出口企业面对TBT时有以下三种选择：“斗争”、“改进”或者“放弃”；理性的国家在面对TBT时不会选择“放弃”；只要进行“斗争”的成本小于进行技术“改进”的成本,出口国都会先选择“斗争”的策略。并在此模型的基础上,结合“云南牛肝菌”和“随州标准”两个案例进行实证分析,在此基础上提出我国食用菌出口企业应对技术性贸易壁垒的对策,并为食用菌产业的可持续发展提出建议。
[Abstract]:Edible fungus industry as a sunrise industry, after joining WTO, has obtained the rapid development. China is a big producer of edible fungi, and the annual output value of edible fungi has changed dramatically compared with the initial period of reform and opening up. At the same time, China is also a big exporter of edible fungi. China's export of edible fungi occupies a large market share in the international market. The trade volume of edible fungus keeps surplus year by year, becoming the main export agricultural product of our country. At the same time, the occurrences of technical barriers to trade in edible fungus trade in China are also frequent, such as the "nicotine limit" incident in 2008 in the European Union and the "carbendazim" residual event in the United States in 2012. The frequent occurrence of this kind of events hinders the export of edible fungus products in China to a great extent. In this paper, the current situation of the export trade of edible fungi in China is studied, the product structure and market distribution of edible fungi in China are analyzed, and the current situation of technical barriers to trade in edible fungi in China is studied. Through the analysis of VAR model, it is found that technical barriers to trade are the important reasons that hinder the export of edible fungus products of our country, and the TBT set up by America, Japan and Europe has a negative effect on China's export trade. Based on the analysis results, this paper constructs an imperfect information dynamic game model of Edible Fungi Export in response to Technical barriers to Trade by using game theory, and draws the following conclusions: when Edible Mushroom Export Enterprises face TBT, they have the following three choices: "struggle". "improve" or "give up"; rational countries do not choose to "give up" in the face of TBT; as long as the cost of "struggle" is less than the cost of technological "improvement", exporting countries will first choose the "fight" strategy. On the basis of this model, combining with the two cases of "Boletus yunnanensis" and "Suizhou Standard", the paper puts forward the countermeasures of Chinese edible fungus exporting enterprises to deal with the technical barriers to trade. Suggestions for the sustainable development of edible fungus industry are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：东北林业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F326.13;F752.02

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