中国与俄罗斯贸易的竞争性与互补性问题研究

发布时间：2018-05-31 05:50

本文选题：贸易竞争性 + 综合贸易互补性　；参考：《青岛科技大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：中国和俄罗斯是重要的贸易伙伴,也是新兴工业国家中最大的两大经济体。中俄两国的相互贸易不断增长,在出口方面俄罗斯是继日本之后中国的第四大世界出口对象,同时从进口角度来讲,俄罗斯是中国第三大商品进口对象。汪洋副总理在第八届中俄工商界高峰论坛上指出,预计到2020年,中俄双方的贸易总额将超过2000亿美元。本文对中国和俄罗斯贸易的竞争性和互补性以及中俄的双方贸易过程中的问题进行了分析。在分析中俄贸易的竞争性和互补性的过程中,本文建立了双边贸易状态坐标,横坐标代表两国贸易的竞争性,其数值判断以中俄贸易的出口相似度来代表；纵坐标代表中俄两国的贸易互补性,其数值以综合性贸易互补性指数代表,综合性贸易指数是本文在一定假设条件下,根据两个国家产业内贸易余额以及产业内贸易的比重为基础,测算的一个度量来两国贸易互补性的数据。双边贸易状态坐标显示,中国和俄罗斯的贸易竞争性不断降低,双方的贸易竞争性指数从2004年的39.36下降到2013年的30.5。同时,中俄双方的贸易互补性不断加强,表现为贸易互补性指数从23.52上升到2013年的51.24,因此总体来看中俄两国的外贸发展向着少对抗多互补的方向发展。在定性分析两国贸易发展面临的具体问题时,本文认为中俄双方的经济、政治、文化差异；“灰色清关”的问题,通关手续复杂；双边贸易结构和贸易产品质量问题突出；贸易服务体系配套不健全,双边贸易制度契合度低等问题严重,制约了中俄两国双边贸易的发展。针对这些问题论文从以下角度提供了建议。首先,本文认为应该夯实中俄贸易的政治文化基础,为中俄贸易发展提供良好的环境；其次,需要促进双边贸易制度的完善和秩序的规范；第三,应该完善双边贸易设施和公共服务；第四,尽力改善双边的贸易结构并提高贸易产品的质量。如果这些意见能够得到落实,中俄的双边贸易则会进入到一个新的发展时期。
[Abstract]:China and Russia are important trading partners and the two largest emerging industrial economies. The mutual trade between China and Russia is growing, Russia is the fourth largest export object of China after Japan, and Russia is the third import object of Chinese goods from the point of view of import. Trade between China and Russia is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2020, Vice Premier Wang Yang said at the eighth China-Russia Business Summit. This paper analyzes the competition and complementarity between China and Russia and the problems in the process of trade between China and Russia. In the process of analyzing the competition and complementarity of Sino-Russian trade, this paper establishes the bilateral trade status coordinate, and the horizontal coordinate represents the competitiveness of the two countries' trade, and its numerical judgment is represented by the export similarity between China and Russia. The vertical coordinate represents the trade complementarity between China and Russia, and its value is represented by the comprehensive trade complementarity index, which is based on certain assumptions in this paper. Based on the balance of intra-industry trade and the proportion of intra-industry trade between the two countries, a measurement of trade complementarity between the two countries is presented. Bilateral trade status coordinates show that trade competitiveness between China and Russia is declining, from 39.36 in 2004 to 30.5 in 2013. At the same time, the trade complementarity between China and Russia has been strengthened, which shows that the index of trade complementarity has increased from 23.52 to 51.24 in 2013, so overall the development of foreign trade between China and Russia is towards the direction of less confrontation and more complementarity. In the qualitative analysis of the specific problems facing the development of trade between the two countries, this paper holds that the economic, political and cultural differences between China and Russia, the problem of "grey customs clearance", the complexity of customs clearance procedures, the outstanding problems of bilateral trade structure and the quality of trade products; The development of bilateral trade between China and Russia is restricted by some problems, such as imperfect trade service system and low compatibility of bilateral trade system. In view of these problems, the paper provides some suggestions from the following angles. First, this paper holds that the political and cultural foundation of Sino-Russian trade should be consolidated to provide a good environment for the development of Sino-Russian trade. Secondly, it is necessary to promote the perfection and order of the bilateral trade system. We should improve bilateral trade facilities and public services. Fourth, we should try our best to improve the bilateral trade structure and improve the quality of trade products. If these views are implemented, bilateral trade between China and Russia will enter a new period of development.
【学位授予单位】：青岛科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.7;F755.12

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