中国—东盟自贸区建设对我国纺织服装贸易的影响研究

发布时间：2018-06-04 14:09

本文选题：中国-东盟自贸区 + 纺织服装　；参考：《东华大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：2010年1月1日,中国-东盟自贸区(China and ASEAN Free Trade Area,CAFTA)正式建立,标志着中国与东盟10国经贸合作进入了全新的发展时期。自贸区建立后,中国和东盟有超过90%的产品实现了零关税待遇,与此同时,双方在优化港口效率、海关环境、国内规制等方面有了更明确的合作。纺织服装业作为中国和东盟诸国传统的重要产业,随着自贸区建设使双边贸易实现零关税和无配额,为中国和东盟的纺织服装贸易带来了新的机遇与挑战。因此基于中国和东盟近年来一直致力于降税和提高贸易便利化,研究这些措施在我国纺织服装贸易中的实际影响效果将有助于制定进一步的贸易政策。本文首先从贸易总量和结构变化、国际竞争力、产业内贸易方面分析了中国与东盟的纺织服装贸易发展现状。然后在探讨中国-东盟自贸区的贸易效应和贸易便利化基础上,进一步理论分析了自贸区建设对我国纺织服装的贸易效应,以及贸易便利化对我国纺织服装贸易的影响。并通过选取2005-2014年中国与东盟六国以及其他28个贸易伙伴国的纺织服装贸易额作为面板数据,利用扩展后的贸易引力模型实证研究了中国-东盟自贸区建设对我国纺织服装贸易的影响。研究结果表明,中国-东盟自贸区建设对双边纺织服装贸易产生了显著的贸易效应,当中国和东盟同属于CAFTA时,双边的纺织服装贸易额在自贸区建设的贸易效应下会有较大增长;同时贸易便利化水平也是影响我国与伙伴国纺织服装贸易额的重要因素,随着两国贸易便利化水平的提高,双边纺织服装贸易额会相应增加;并由贸易潜力预测发现我国与新加坡、印度尼西亚、菲律宾、泰国在纺织服装贸易上均处于贸易不足的状态,因此双边在该领域还有很大的发展空间。最后根据各因素的影响作用,本文就进一步促进中国和东盟的纺织服装贸易提出了政策建议。
[Abstract]:On January 1, 2010, the China-ASEAN Free Trade area (CAFTAA) was formally established, marking the new development period of China-ASEAN economic and trade cooperation. Since the establishment of the Free Trade Zone, more than 90% of the products of China and ASEAN have achieved zero tariff treatment. At the same time, the two sides have more explicit cooperation in optimizing port efficiency, customs environment, domestic regulation and so on. Textile and clothing industry is an important traditional industry of China and ASEAN countries. With the construction of free trade zone, the bilateral trade has achieved zero tariff and quota-free, which brings new opportunities and challenges to the textile and clothing trade between China and ASEAN. Therefore, in recent years, China and ASEAN have been committed to reduce taxes and improve trade facilitation, the study of the actual impact of these measures in China's textile and clothing trade will contribute to the formulation of further trade policies. Firstly, this paper analyzes the present situation of textile and clothing trade between China and ASEAN from the aspects of total trade volume and structure change, international competitiveness and intra-industry trade. Then, on the basis of discussing the trade effect and trade facilitation of China-ASEAN Free Trade area, this paper further analyzes the trade effect of the construction of free trade area on China's textile and clothing, and the influence of trade facilitation on China's textile and clothing trade. Through selecting the textile and clothing trade volume between China and ASEAN six countries and 28 other trading partner countries as panel data from 2005 to 2014, The influence of the construction of China-ASEAN Free Trade area on China's textile and garment trade is studied empirically by using the expanded trade gravity model. The results show that the construction of China-ASEAN Free Trade area has a significant trade effect on the bilateral textile and clothing trade, when China and ASEAN both belong to CAFTA. The bilateral textile and clothing trade volume will increase greatly under the trade effect of the construction of the free trade zone. Meanwhile, the level of trade facilitation is also an important factor affecting the textile and clothing trade volume between China and its partner countries. With the improvement of the trade facilitation level between the two countries, The bilateral trade volume of textile and clothing will increase accordingly. According to the forecast of trade potential, it is found that China and Singapore, Indonesia, the Philippines, and Thailand are all in a state of insufficient trade in textile and clothing trade. Therefore, there is still a lot of room for bilateral development in this field. Finally, according to the influence of various factors, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions to further promote the textile and clothing trade between China and ASEAN.
【学位授予单位】：东华大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F752.7;F426.81

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