我国纺织服装产业出口贸易与本地市场效应研究

发布时间：2018-06-13 09:45

本文选题：纺织服装产业 + 出口贸易　；参考：《新疆大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：20世纪80年代,Krugman提出了本地市场效应的概念,与传统贸易理论从供给端考虑出口贸易影响因素不同,本地市场效应所代表的新贸易理论从需求角度探索出口贸易决定方式。本文就以该理论为出发点,探讨我国传统优势产业——纺织服装业在出口贸易与产业发展中的本地市场效应情况。本文在梳理完古典贸易理论和新贸易理论的研究成果后,首先介绍了我国纺织服装产业与纺织品服装出口贸易的现状,然后根据Weder(2003)提出的相对出口和相对本地市场需求关系的线性模型,利用我国与纺织品服装主要伙伴国日本、美国和欧盟2005年—2015年的相关数据对纺织服装产业全国层面的本地市场效应进行检验,结果表明,我国纺织品服装面向几个主要贸易伙伴国的出口贸易中是不存在本地市场效应的,即我国纺织服装出口贸易方式依然是由要素禀赋优势决定的,其中劳动力优势发挥的作用远远大于资本投入的作用。其次,为进一步分析纺织服装产业在我国省级层面的本地市场效应情况,选取1997-2014年我国30个省(直辖市、自治区)纺织业、纺织服装、鞋、帽制造业相关数据,应用在Davis和Weinstein经典检验模型基础上发展而来的公式,分别对每个省市区(除西藏)的纺织业和纺织服装业数据进行回归,结果表明:我国纺织业与纺织服装产业在省级层面极少数个别省份中均具有本地市场效应,其中东、中、西地区本地市场效应与要素禀赋优势对产业发展的贡献度有所不同,东部地区纺织服装本地市场需求效应最高,中西部地区次之,在不断推进东部地区的产业转移的过程中,应注意中西部地区的市场需求条件,合理布局产业转移。最后,基于我国国内市场蕴藏的大规模需求,通过本地市场需求的作用发挥为纺织服装出口贸易和产业本身的发展提供新的动力机制,从而能够在我国纺织品服装出口进入调整期、劳动力成本上升、人口红利减弱的背景下保证纺织品服装出口贸易及各省市区纺织服装产业的可持续发展。根据不同省市区纺织服装产业本地市场效应表现的差异,因地制宜制定纺织服装产业发展战略。
[Abstract]:In 1980s, Krugman proposed the concept of local market effect, which was different from the influence factors of the traditional trade theory from the supply side. The new trade theory represented by the local market effect explored the export trade decision mode from the demand point of view. After combing the achievements of the classical trade theory and the new trade theory, this paper first introduces the present situation of China's textile and garment industry and the textile and garment export trade, and then according to the relative export and the relative local market demand based on Weder (2003). The linear model is used to test the local market effect on the national level of textile and clothing industry by using the relevant data of China and Japan, the United States and the European Union from 2005 to 2015. The results show that there is no local market effect in the export trade of China's textile and clothing to several major trading partners. That is, the export trade mode of China's textile and clothing is still determined by the factor endowment advantage, and the role of the labor force is far greater than the role of capital investment. Secondly, in order to further analyze the local market effect of textile and garment industry at the provincial level in China, 30 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) of China are selected for 1997-2014 years. The related data of textile, textile, clothing, shoes and cap manufacturing are applied on the basis of the Davis and Weinstein classic test models. The data of textile industry and textile and garment industry in every province and city (except Tibet) are regressed respectively. The results show that China's textile industry and textile and garment industry are in a few provinces at the provincial level. All of them have the local market effect, in which the local market effect and the factor endowment advantage of East, middle and western regions have different contribution to the industrial development. In the eastern region, the demand effect of the local market is the highest. In the middle and western regions, the market needs of the central and western regions should be paid attention to in the process of advancing the industrial transfer in the eastern region. In the end, based on the large demand in China's domestic market, it provides a new dynamic mechanism for the development of textile and garment export trade and the development of the industry itself, based on the large demand in the domestic market, so as to be able to enter the adjustment period of the export of textile and clothing in China, the cost of labor and the dividend of the population. Under the weakening background, the textile and garment export trade and the sustainable development of the textile and clothing industries of all provinces and cities are guaranteed. According to the differences in the local market effect of the textile and clothing industries in different provinces and cities, the development strategy of textile and clothing industry is formulated in the light of local conditions.
【学位授予单位】：新疆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.81;F752.62

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