山西省外商直接投资对出口贸易影响的实证分析

发布时间：2018-06-20 20:02

本文选题：山西省 + 外商直接投资　；参考：《山西财经大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：在全球化日益加快的当今世界,国际资本流动规模日益增长,外商直接投资与贸易的联系日益紧密。改革开放以来,外商直接投资的流入及出口贸易的快速发展已成为山西省经济增长的两大重要引擎,共同推动着其经济的发展。由于我国东西跨度较大,所以地域环境的不同造成了经济发展水平也大不相同,并且实行区域经济管理制度使得各地招商引资政策也不相同,以至于不同地区的出口贸易出现较大差异。那么出口贸易量的迅速膨胀与外资强势进入之间有怎样的关系,多大的关系值得我们探讨。在扩大对外开放的关键时期,山西省将如何平衡好外资进入与出口贸易的关系,将整体经济效率提升到最高点,这是本文研究的重点。本文以国际投资与贸易理论为基础,通过对山西省1994—2014年的相关数据进行分析,总结了山西省近年来利用外商直接投资的历史发展进程和特点,分析了山西省利用出口贸易的总额和出口商品结构的现状,同时就外商投资企业对出口贸易贡献度这一问题进行分析。利用Eviews计量经济软件,通过平稳性检验、协整检验和格兰杰因果关系检验验证山西省外商直接投资与出口贸易总量之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,并建立误差修正模型对短期波动进行研究。同时也研究了外商直接投资与初级产品、工业制成品的出口额之间的均衡关系。结论表明,外商直接投资和出口贸易的互补效应明显,且外资引入对工业制成品出口具有十分积极作用。最后在充分肯定外资对出口贸易的促进作用的同时,总结前文所发现的问题,并分析产生问题的原因,提出提高外资利用率、优化贸易出口的建议。
[Abstract]:In the world of accelerating globalization, the scale of international capital flow is increasing day by day, and the relationship between foreign direct investment and trade is increasingly close. Since the reform and opening up, the inflow of foreign direct investment and the rapid development of export trade have become two important engines of economic growth in Shanxi Province, which jointly promote the economic development of Shanxi Province. Because of the wide span between east and west in our country, the different regional environment makes the level of economic development very different, and the implementation of regional economic management system makes the policies of attracting investment from different places different. So that the export trade of different regions appear big difference. So what is the relationship between the rapid expansion of export trade and the strong entry of foreign capital, and how much is worth discussing. In the key period of opening wider to the outside world, how to balance the relationship between foreign capital entry and export trade, and how to promote the overall economic efficiency to the highest point is the focus of this paper. Based on the theory of international investment and trade, this paper analyzes the relevant data of Shanxi Province from 1994 to 2014, and summarizes the historical development process and characteristics of foreign direct investment in Shanxi Province in recent years. This paper analyzes the total amount of export trade and the present situation of export commodity structure in Shanxi Province, and analyzes the contribution of foreign-invested enterprises to export trade. By using Eviews econometrics software, the stable equilibrium relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and total export trade in Shanxi Province is verified by the stationary test, cointegration test and Granger causality test. An error correction model is established to study the short-term fluctuation. At the same time, the equilibrium relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and the export value of primary products and manufactured goods is also studied. The conclusion shows that the complementary effect of FDI and export trade is obvious, and the introduction of FDI plays a very positive role in the export of manufactured goods. Finally, while fully affirming the role of foreign investment in promoting export trade, the paper summarizes the problems found in the previous paper, analyzes the causes of the problems, and puts forward some suggestions for improving the utilization rate of foreign capital and optimizing the export of trade.
【学位授予单位】：山西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F832.6;F752.62

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