新疆对外工程承包环境及趋势分析
发布时间:2018-07-03 18:51
本文选题:新疆对外工程承包 + 环境分析 ; 参考:《新疆大学》2015年硕士论文
【摘要】:伴随着跨越式发展战略的推进与落实,新疆的对外工程承包行业发展迅速,对外工程承包行业的快速增长已经成为了新疆走向世界的新亮点,因此研究新疆对外工程承包行业的发展至关重要。本文选择新疆对外工程承包行业为研究对象,首先对新疆对外工程承包行业的发展现状作了较为系统的梳理;其次运用贝恩指数法、行业结构变动率法等定量分析法,并结合定性分析法,从国际和国内两个角度,探讨了影响新疆对外工程承包行业发展趋势的关键环境因素;然后运用回归分析法定量预测了新疆对外工程承包行业实际营业额、新签合同额以及累计派遣各类劳务人数的趋势变动函数,分别为:y1=(1/500+85.169*0.673t1)(-1)、y2=(1/225+86.607*0.641t2)(-1)以及y3=e(9.254-3.854/t3),并结合现状、环境的分析,定性预测了未来新疆对外工程承包企业的规模将会日益扩大、合作方式将会更趋多元,主流业务模式将可能变更为对外直接投资,对外工程承包行业的市场范围将会日益扩大,行业融资水平将会进一步被提升。最后从政府的层面,提出了辅助企业抓住机遇、迎接挑战的政策建议。
[Abstract]:With the promotion and implementation of the leap-forward development strategy, the foreign engineering contracting industry in Xinjiang has developed rapidly, and the rapid growth of the foreign engineering contracting industry has become a new bright spot for Xinjiang to move towards the world. Therefore, it is very important to study the development of external engineering contracting industry in Xinjiang. This paper chooses the foreign engineering contracting industry of Xinjiang as the research object. Firstly, it systematically combs the development status of the foreign engineering contracting industry in Xinjiang, and then uses the Bain index method, the industry structure change rate method and other quantitative analysis methods. Combined with qualitative analysis method, this paper discusses the key environmental factors that affect the development trend of Xinjiang's foreign engineering contracting industry from the international and domestic perspectives, and then forecasts the actual turnover of Xinjiang's foreign engineering contracting industry by using regression analysis. The trend function of the newly signed contract amount and the cumulative number of labor workers dispatched is: y1 = (1 / 500 85.169*0.673t1) (-1) y2 = (1 / 225 86.607*0.641t2) (-1) and y3e (9.254-3.854/t3). Combined with the analysis of the current situation and the environment, it is predicted qualitatively that the scale of foreign engineering contracting enterprises in Xinjiang will be increasingly expanded in the future. The mode of cooperation will be more diversified, the mainstream business model may be changed to foreign direct investment, the market scope of OPC industry will be expanded day by day, and the level of industry financing will be further raised. Finally, from the level of government, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions to assist enterprises to seize the opportunities and meet the challenges.
【学位授予单位】:新疆大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2015
【分类号】:F752.68
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