国际贸易对中国中部六省城乡收入差距影响的实证分析

发布时间：2018-07-10 10:35

本文选题：中部六省 + 国际贸易　；参考：《华中科技大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：我国的经济自改革后得到强劲的发展,国际贸易在新世纪也上了一个新台阶。但同时,经济的增长及国际贸易的发展也引发了城乡之间收入差距的扩大问题。本文以中部六省1990—2013年的省级数据为基础,选取泰尔指数测度城乡收入差距,以其作为被解释变量,以对外依存度、进口依存度、出口依存度和外资依存度作为主要解释变量,并引入以人均GDP为代表的经济发展水平、以人均受教育年限为代表的人力资本及以第一产业占总GDP比值为代表的产业结构作为控制解释变量,分析国际贸易对中部地区城乡收入差距的影响。文章首先根据泰尔指数的特性,将城乡收入差距划分为城乡之间、城镇内部和农村内部三种收入差距,研究中部地区城乡收入差距的构成及各种收入差距对总城乡收入差距的贡献率。研究结果表明中部地区城乡之间收入差距对总城乡收入差距的解释率近90%。其次,文章运用灰色关联分析方法分别测算对外依存度、进口依存度、出口依存度及外资依存度与中部地区三种收入差距的关联度。测算结果表明中部地区三种收入差距与对外经济的关联度均处于较高水平,二者相互之间具有较强的关联性。在此基础上,文章进一步运用协整检验分析进出口贸易及FDI与城乡之间、城镇内部及农村内部收入差距的长期关系。结果表明,从长期来看,对外贸易的发展倾向于扩大城乡之间及城镇内部收入差距而有助于缩小农村内部收入差距,而引入FDI对中部地区的城乡收入差距则存在相反的影响。我们还发现相对而言进口对收入差距的影响比出口要显著。
[Abstract]:China's economy has developed strongly since the reform, and international trade has reached a new level in the new century. But at the same time, economic growth and the development of international trade also lead to the widening of income gap between urban and rural areas. Based on the provincial data from 1990 to 2013 in six central provinces, this paper selects the Terre Index to measure the urban-rural income gap, taking it as the explanatory variable, taking the degree of external dependence and the degree of dependence on imports as the explanatory variables. Export dependence and foreign capital dependence are the main explanatory variables, and the level of economic development represented by GDP per capita is introduced. The influence of international trade on the income gap between urban and rural areas in central China is analyzed by analyzing the human capital represented by the age of education per capita and the industrial structure represented by the ratio of primary industry to total GDP as control explanatory variables. Firstly, according to the characteristics of Terre index, the income gap between urban and rural areas is divided into three types: urban income gap, urban income gap and rural income gap. This paper studies the composition of urban-rural income gap in central China and the contribution rate of all kinds of income gap to the total urban-rural income gap. The results show that the interpretation rate of the income gap between urban and rural areas to the total urban-rural income gap is nearly 90%. Secondly, the paper uses the grey correlation analysis method to calculate the correlation degree of external dependence, import dependence, export dependence and foreign capital dependence with the three income gaps in the central region. The results show that the correlation degree between the three income gaps and the foreign economy in the central region is at a high level, and there is a strong correlation between them. On this basis, the paper further uses cointegration test to analyze the long-term relationship between import and export trade and FDI and the income gap between urban and rural areas and between urban and rural areas. The results show that, in the long run, the development of foreign trade tends to expand the income gap between urban and rural areas and urban and rural areas to help narrow the income gap in rural areas, but the introduction of FDI has the opposite effect on the income gap between urban and rural areas in the central region. We also find that imports have a relatively greater impact on income inequality than exports.
【学位授予单位】：华中科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F124.7;F752.6

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