中国对外直接投资与对外贸易的相互影响研究

发布时间：2018-09-06 17:19

【摘要】：过去十多年来,随着中国经济的飞速发展以及世界经济一体化进程的不断加快,中国企业“走出去”的步伐也不断加快。从对外进出口贸易到现在的对外直接投资,中国融入国际分工的程度正在不断加深,对外直接投资和对外贸易作为一国参与国际经济活动的两种最重要的方式,都在中国改革开放之后的的经济发展中占据着不可替代的位置。两者自1978年之后一直都在数量上呈现出不断增长的态势,可见两者联系之紧密,而两者之间到底存在着怎样的相互影响以及数量关系,则成为了一个很好研究点。本文综合理论分析和计量模型,在理论结合实际的基础上,研究中国对外直接投资影对进出口贸易的影响和中国对外贸易对其对外直接投资影响,并且探究两者之间存在的数量关系。经过大量分析,本文认为：中国对外直接投资对出口贸易和进口贸易兼有拉动和抑制影响,要具体到不同的投资动机；中国对大多数国家的直接投资均对中国和这些国家之间的进出口贸易产生了正向的拉动作用；出口贸易通过贸易壁垒倒逼效应和外汇储备积累效应对中国的外直接投资产生了促进作用。最后本文在综合这些分析的基础上,提出相关的政策建议,相信这对于中国对外直接投资以及对外贸易的稳定、健康、可持续发展将有重要的理论和实践意义。
[Abstract]:In the past decade, with the rapid development of China's economy and the acceleration of the process of world economic integration, the pace of "going out" of Chinese enterprises has been speeding up. From foreign import and export trade to current foreign direct investment, China's integration into the international division of labor is deepening. Foreign direct investment and foreign trade are two of the most important ways for a country to participate in international economic activities. After the reform and opening up in China, the economic development occupies an irreplaceable position. Since 1978, the two have been showing an increasing trend in quantity, which shows that the two are closely related, and what kind of mutual influence and quantitative relationship exist between the two has become a good research point. On the basis of theoretical analysis and measurement model, this paper studies the influence of China's foreign direct investment on import and export trade and China's foreign trade on its foreign direct investment. And explore the quantitative relationship between the two. After a lot of analysis, this paper holds that: China's foreign direct investment (OFDI) has both pulling and restraining effects on export trade and import trade, which should be specific to different investment motives; China's direct investment in most countries has a positive effect on the import and export trade between China and these countries. Export trade through trade barriers force effect and foreign exchange reserve accumulation effect on China's foreign direct investment has played a role in promoting. Finally, on the basis of synthesizing these analyses, this paper puts forward some relevant policy suggestions, which is believed to have important theoretical and practical significance for the stability, health and sustainable development of China's foreign direct investment and foreign trade.
【学位授予单位】：东南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F125;F752.7

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