高新技术产品进口对我国出口贸易结构的影响
发布时间：2018-11-10 18:56
【摘要】：自改革开放以来我国贸易大国的地位日益凸显,对外贸易尤其是出口贸易方面取得的斐然成就更是引人瞩目。我国虽然已经成为世界上名副其实的全球贸易大国之一,但并非贸易强国。我国的贸易结构问题一直是人们所关注的重点,在过去的很长一段时间当中国内经济学家们都致力于分析我国贸易结构现状和结构改善问题。近年来出口贸易结构虽然有所优化,但进口结构方面还存在隐忧。从“科技兴贸”战略到国务院近年来接连颁布的《关于加强进口促进对外贸易平衡发展的指导意见》和《关于加强进口的若干意见》等都可以看出国家正在实施积极的进口促进战略,旨在鼓励先进技术设备和关键零部件进口。本文选择从高新技术产品进口的角度研究其对出口贸易结构的影响。选取1991年至2012年我国高新技术产品进口数据和我国出口贸易结构相关数据作为样本,在所选样本空间内利用单位根检验、Johansen协整关系检验和Granger因果关系检验来研究高新技术产品进口与出口贸易商品结构和方式结构变化之间的关系。研究结果表明,高新技术产品进口在长期内对初级产品、工业制成品以及一般产品出口会有正向影响,对加工贸易产品出口有反向影响,且影响系数各不相同,总体来讲会有利于出口贸易结构的优化。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's status as a major trading country has become increasingly prominent, and the remarkable achievements in foreign trade, especially export trade, have attracted more and more attention. Although China has become one of the real global trading powers in the world, it is not a trade power. China's trade structure has been the focus of attention, in the past a long period of time, domestic economists have been devoted to the analysis of the current situation of China's trade structure and structural improvement. Although the export trade structure has been optimized in recent years, there are still hidden worries in the import structure. From the strategy of "revitalizing trade through science and technology" to the "guiding opinions on strengthening imports to promote the balanced Development of Foreign Trade" promulgated by the State Council in recent years, and "some opinions on strengthening imports", we can see that the country is implementing them. Active import promotion strategies, Aims to encourage the import of advanced technology, equipment and key components. This paper studies the influence of high-tech products on export structure from the point of view of import of high-tech products. From 1991 to 2012, the import data of China's high-tech products and the related data of China's export trade structure are selected as samples, and the unit root test is used in the selected sample space. Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test are used to study the relationship between the import of high-tech products and the changes of commodity structure and mode structure in export trade. The results show that in the long run, the import of high-tech products will have a positive effect on the export of primary products, manufactured goods and general products, and a negative impact on the export of processed trade products. Generally speaking, it will be conducive to the optimization of export trade structure.
【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F276.44;F752.6
本文编号：2323318
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's status as a major trading country has become increasingly prominent, and the remarkable achievements in foreign trade, especially export trade, have attracted more and more attention. Although China has become one of the real global trading powers in the world, it is not a trade power. China's trade structure has been the focus of attention, in the past a long period of time, domestic economists have been devoted to the analysis of the current situation of China's trade structure and structural improvement. Although the export trade structure has been optimized in recent years, there are still hidden worries in the import structure. From the strategy of "revitalizing trade through science and technology" to the "guiding opinions on strengthening imports to promote the balanced Development of Foreign Trade" promulgated by the State Council in recent years, and "some opinions on strengthening imports", we can see that the country is implementing them. Active import promotion strategies, Aims to encourage the import of advanced technology, equipment and key components. This paper studies the influence of high-tech products on export structure from the point of view of import of high-tech products. From 1991 to 2012, the import data of China's high-tech products and the related data of China's export trade structure are selected as samples, and the unit root test is used in the selected sample space. Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test are used to study the relationship between the import of high-tech products and the changes of commodity structure and mode structure in export trade. The results show that in the long run, the import of high-tech products will have a positive effect on the export of primary products, manufactured goods and general products, and a negative impact on the export of processed trade products. Generally speaking, it will be conducive to the optimization of export trade structure.
【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F276.44;F752.6
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