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“快速通关”贸易促进效应的实证分析

发布时间:2018-11-18 12:57
【摘要】:在低关税的时代,快速通关很可能是打破贸易壁垒,推动国际贸易发展的重要手段。文章从四个方面总结了快速通关对国际贸易的影响机制,并基于2008-2010年113个国家相互之间的出口数据,使用Heckman两步选择模型进行了实证研究。结果显示,快速通关对贸易参与和贸易规模都有着显著的促进作用,从多个角度进行稳健性检验后,该结论依然成立。快速通关可以通过需求偏好效应、成本效应与全球化生产网络效应和遏制日益强化的非关税贸易壁垒的负面效应,使得多边谈判所形成的关税降低的效应得以真正发挥。此外,文章还发现,自由贸易协定的建立,提升了通关效率与边境管理的透明度,进而提高了国家间的贸易量。文章的研究结论对于理解目前中国建立自由贸易区以及实施在贸易谈判中主导快速通关的措施或建立条款,打破技术贸易壁垒具有重要的意义。
[Abstract]:In the era of low tariff, rapid customs clearance may be an important means to break down trade barriers and promote the development of international trade. This paper summarizes the impact mechanism of rapid customs clearance on international trade from four aspects and makes an empirical study based on the export data of 113 countries from 2008 to 2010 using the Heckman two-step selection model. The results show that rapid customs clearance can significantly promote trade participation and trade scale, and the conclusion is still valid after robust test from many angles. Through demand preference effect, cost effect, global production network effect and the negative effect of containing the increasingly strengthened non-tariff barriers to trade, rapid customs clearance can make the effect of tariff reduction formed by multilateral negotiations play a real role. In addition, it is found that the establishment of free trade agreement enhances the efficiency of customs clearance and the transparency of border management, and further increases the volume of trade between countries. The conclusion of this paper is of great significance to understand the establishment of free trade zone in China and to implement the measures or clauses to break down the technical barriers to trade.
【作者单位】: 上海财经大学国际工商管理学院;
【基金】:中国自由贸易试验区协同创新中心资助基金项目(2015110868)
【分类号】:F745;F742

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