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中国与COMESA贸易及其对COMESA经济增长影响的研究

发布时间:2021-01-01 14:08
  全球经济和政治形势正处于复杂而深刻的调整之中。深受2008国际金融危机的影响,世界总需求持续疲软。资本流动和汇率波动加剧,商品价格趋于下跌,国际贸易和跨境投资增长非常缓慢,因为这种没有起色的增长,全球经济复苏也随之成为一个缓慢和困难的过程,从20世纪90年代末开始,东南非共同市场以商业为首要目标实现区域一体化,帮助中国与成员国的贸易稳步增长。东南非共同市场的目标是建立一个完全一体化的充满国际竞争的地区,在这个地区货物、服务、资本、劳动力和人员可以自由流动,为外国、跨境和国内投资企业创造出一个有利的环境,致力于到2025年实现非洲经济共同体。在1999年,中国是四个非东南非共同市场国家当中唯一一个在肯尼亚举行的东南非共同市场贸易展览会上预订了展位的国家。同年,中国进出口银行与东部南部非洲贸易和发展银行(PTA银行)签署了出口信贷协议。并且2000中国人民银行进入了 PTA银行的领导地位这笔交易使中国成为在该地区以外的PTA银行的最大的股东,并为该银行董事会提供了一名代表。随着中国在确保更可预测的市场准入于贸易集团的成员方面的不断努力,中国-东南非共同市场在过去十年中贸易迅速增长。中国新任... 

【文章来源】:东北财经大学辽宁省

【文章页数】:175 页

【学位级别】:博士

【文章目录】:
ABSTRACT
摘要
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
1 INTRODUCTION
    1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY
    1.2 PROBLEM IDENTIFICATION
    1.3 OBJECTIVES AND MOTIVATION OF THE STUDY
    1.4 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
    1.5 RESEARCH AREAS AND STRUCTURE
        1.5.1 Research Areas
        1.5.2 Structure of the Thesis
    1.6 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY-ESTIMATION METHOD
    1.7 INNOVATIONS AND WEAKNESSES
        1.7.1 Research Innovations
        1.7.2 Research Weaknesses and Constraints
2 LITERATURE REVIEW
    2.1 ANALYSIS ON TRADE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
        2.1.1 Trade Policy Promotes Innovation and Competition
        2.1.2 Trade Growth by Economic Integration
        2.1.3 Brief literature on Comparative Advantage
    2.2 TRADE AS AN ENGINE OF GROWTH
        2.2.1 Effect of terror on trade and economic growth
        2.2.2 Importance of Endowment to trade and Economic growth
    2.3 LITERATURE ON THE IMPACT OF ECONOMIC COOPERATION ON TRADEAND GROWTH
        2.3.1 Background of Aid for Trade Leading Growth
        2.3.2 General Criticisms on the Existing Literature and Approach with Current Situation
    2.4 SUMMARY
3 THEORETICAL REVIEW AND METHODOLOGY
    3.1 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION-TRADE-ECONOMIC GROWTH
        3.1.1 Theory of foreign trade multiplier
        3.1.2 Complete Specialisation and Multilateral Resistance to Trade-A Review
    3.2 TRADE THEORIES LEADING TO CHINA-COMESATRADE DETERMINANT
        3.2.1 Linkage to Gravity Modelling
        3.2.2 Augmenting the Trade Model
        3.2.3 Augmenting the Solow Model
        3.2.4 Model Specification for the Growth Model
    3.3 SUMMARY
4 OVERVIEW OF COMESA AND TRADE PATTERN OF CHINA WITHCOMESA
    4.1 INTRODUCTION TO COMESA
        4.1.1 Establishment of COMESA
        4.1.2 Economic Growth of COMESA
        4.1.3 Potential Attraction of China in COMESA
    4.2 CHINA'S TRADE WITH COMESA IN COMMUNAL GROUND
        4.2.1 COMESA and China Bilateral Ties
        4.2.2 Snap Shot of Win-Win Policy from Trade to Economic Growth
    4.3 TRADE BETWEEN CHINA AND COMESA AND CHINA'S AID FOR TRADE
        4.3.1 Trade between China and COMESA
        4.3.2 China's Aid for Trade to COMESA
    4.4 SUMMARY
5 IMPLICATIONS OF CHINA ON COMESA'S TRADE DEVELOPMENT
    5.1 VARIABLES DEFINITION AND MEASUREMENT
    5.2 ANALYSES AND RESULTS
        5.2.1 China's Trade Impact on COMESA
        5.2.2 Effects of AID and Natural Resources on COMESA Trade
        5.2.3 Impacts of Terror Attacks on COMESA Trade
        5.2.4 Openness, Similarity Index and Relative Factor Endowment
        5.2.5 Income and Distance
        5.2.6 Contiguity, Colonial and Cultural Affiliation
    5.3 TREND OF CHINA'S TRADE IMPACT ON COMESA
    5.4 TERROR EFFECT ON CHINA'S TRADE WITH COMESA,OTHERS
    5.5 SUMMARY
6 INFLUENCES OF CHINA-COMESA TRADE ON COMESA'S ECONOMY
    6.1 OVERALL IMPACT OF BILATERAL TRADE OF COMESA'S ECONOMIC GROWTH
        6.1.1 The Impact of Trade and Terror on COMESA Economic Growth
        6.1.2 Sundry Economic Growth Determinant for COMESA
    6.2 CHINA-COMESA TRADE OPENNESS:ITS CONTRIBUTION TO COMESA
    6.3 FURTHER ANALYSES WITH VAR MODEL
        6.3.1 Lag Selection Criteria
        6.3.2 Impact of trade on COMESA Countries-Further Analyses
    6.4 SUMMARY
7 CONCLUSION AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS
    7.1 CONCLUSION
    7.2 POLICY IMPLICATIONS
        7.2.1 Policy Implications on Domestic Policies and Institutions
        7.2.2 Policy Implications on The Need for Infrastructure Development
        7.2.3 Policy Implications on Booming Export Market in The Region
        7.2.4 Policy Implications on Deepening Ties with China
    7.3 SUGGESTIONS FOR FURTHER INVESTIGATION
APPENDIX
BIBLIOGRAPHY
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT



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