城际铁路站点土地开发规模研究——以广清城际铁路为例

发布时间：2018-04-05 13:12

本文选题：交通工程　切入点：城际铁路　出处：《交通信息与安全》2015年05期

【摘要】：随着城市群的快速发展,城际铁路不仅加强了城市群之间联系,也带动了沿线站点发展。由于城际铁路对沿线站点周边的基础设施影响较大,在建设前期需要控制开发土地规模,以及合理规划土地开发。文中通过分析城际铁路与土地利用之间的关系,优化了城际铁路车站客流预测模型。同时,在土地开发面积一定的条件下,利用上述模型预测结果,并综合了沿线土地开发强度、容积率、城市人口等指标,进一步建立了以土地利用为基础的土地开发站点日均吸引人口预测模型。该模型可用于预测车站吸引客流量,从而对土地开发规模进行有效控制。以广清城际为例进行实证研究,证明了预测结果的准确性和合理性,从而证明了模型的可行性及有效性。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of urban agglomeration, inter-city railway not only strengthens the relationship between urban agglomerations, but also promotes the development of stations along the route.Due to the great influence of inter-city railway on the infrastructure around the railway station, it is necessary to control the scale of the land development and to plan the land development reasonably in the early stage of construction.By analyzing the relationship between intercity railway and land use, this paper optimizes the forecasting model of intercity railway station passenger flow.At the same time, under the condition of certain land development area, using the above model to forecast the results, and synthesizing the land development intensity, volume ratio, urban population and other indicators along the line,Furthermore, the model of daily average population attraction of land development sites based on land use is established.The model can be used to predict the passenger flow and control the scale of land development.Taking the inter-city of Guangqing as an example, the accuracy and rationality of the prediction results are proved, and the feasibility and validity of the model are proved.
【作者单位】：北京交通大学交通运输学院;
【分类号】：TU984.113;U239.5

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