劳动力成本上涨背景下我国对外贸易展望

发布时间：2017-12-26 23:03

本文关键词：劳动力成本上涨背景下我国对外贸易展望　出处：《河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2015年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：2013年,我国商品进出口贸易总额首次突破4万亿美元,成为全球最大贸易国。然而,随着人口年龄结构的改变,我国劳动年龄人口增长速度减缓,"人口红利"正在消失。本文综合考虑了劳动生产率,单位劳动成本等因素,通过对我国城镇单位就业人员实际平均工资进行描述性统计,并与27个OECD主要国家2002年至2012年平均工资数据做比较分析,报告了我国劳动力成本比较优势的现状,及其对我国对外贸易的影响。为了更直观地分析劳动力成本上涨对我国对外贸易的影响,作者引入可比净出口指数、他国单位劳动成本与我国单位劳动成本差额两项指标,对其进行相关性检验。通过分析,得出目前劳动力成本上涨对我国出口整体比较优势影响有限的结论,并在此基础上提出实现我国对外贸易健康、可持续发展的建议。
[Abstract]:In 2013, China's total commodity import and export trade exceeded $4 trillion for the first time and became the largest trading country in the world. However, with the change of the age structure of the population, the growth rate of the labor age population in China has slowed down, and the "demographic dividend" is disappearing. This paper considers the labor productivity, unit labor costs and other factors, according to China's urban units employment average real wage to descriptive statistics, and compared with 27 OECD countries from 2002 to 2012 the average wage data, report the status of China's comparative advantage of labor cost, and its impact on China's foreign trade. In order to analyze the impact of labor cost increase on China's foreign trade more directly, the authors introduce the two indexes of comparable net export index, labor cost of other countries and the cost of labor in China, and make a correlation test. The conclusion is that the rising labor cost has limited impact on the overall comparative advantage of China's exports, and on this basis, it puts forward suggestions for the healthy and sustainable development of China's foreign trade.
【作者单位】：东北师范大学政法学院;中国人民大学经济学院;
【分类号】：F249.2;F752.7
【正文快照】： 2013年是我国对外贸易发展中具有里程碑意义的一年,我国商品进出口贸易总额首次突破4万亿美元这一历史性关口,达到4.16万亿美元,取代美国成为全球最大贸易国,这不仅展示了我国近年来贸易发展的成果,而且强化了各界对我国对外贸易发展的关注。作为我国经济发展的三驾马车之一,

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