劳动收入份额对经济增长的影响研究
发布时间:2018-01-03 05:26
本文关键词:劳动收入份额对经济增长的影响研究 出处:《广西大学》2014年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文
【摘要】:我国劳动收入份额从1997年的69.18%降到了2011年的54.17%,下降了15.1%,我国的劳动收入份额的持续下降引起了国内的广泛关注,研究发现劳动收入份额的变动与我国的基尼系数不断扩大、消费持续低迷、产能过剩、产业结构调整等问题交织在一起,成为制约我国经济增长和发展方式转型的重要瓶颈。 本文首先将国民收入一般均衡模型、经济增长函数以及加入人力资本的经济函数作为全文分析的理论基础。其次,分析了劳动收入份额变动对经济增长的影响:包括通过消费对内需的影响、通过投资对物质积累的影响以及经济增长中技术进步、人力资本、经济全球化、产业结构与劳动收入份额的相互变化规律。接着,建立消费倾向、人均GDP、人均GDP的平方项、资本产出比、资本劳动比等十个影响因素关于劳动收入份额决定的计量模型,通过回归分析得出实证结论:劳动收入份额与经济增长呈现倒U型的变化规律符合“库茨涅兹假说”;资本产出比的系数为正,资本劳动比的系数为负,表明我国是以要素投入型为主的经济增长模式,呈现出资本深化的特点;劳动收入份额与消费倾向、人力资本增长率呈正相关关系,与技术进步、外贸出口占比、第三产业增加值占比呈负相关关系,模型的结果都与实际相符。最后,得出提高劳动收入份额建立合理的收入分配制度,还富于民,扩大消费,改善投资、走自主创新道路等政策措施。
[Abstract]:The share of labor income in China fell from 69.18% on 1997 to 54.17 on 2011, a decrease of 15.1%. The continuous decline of labor income share in our country has caused widespread concern in China. The study found that the change of labor income share and the Gini coefficient of our country continue to expand, consumption continues to be depressed, and overcapacity. The adjustment of industrial structure has become an important bottleneck restricting the transformation of economic growth and development mode. This paper firstly takes the general equilibrium model of national income, the economic growth function and the economic function of human capital as the theoretical basis of the full text analysis. This paper analyzes the impact of the change of labor income share on economic growth, including the impact of consumption on domestic demand, the impact of investment on material accumulation and the technological progress, human capital and economic globalization in economic growth. The relationship between industrial structure and labor income share. Then, establish the consumption tendency, per capita GDP, per capita GDP square, capital output ratio. Capital to labor ratio and other ten influencing factors on labor income share determination of the measurement model. The empirical conclusion is obtained by regression analysis: the change of labor income share and economic growth is in accordance with the Kuznets hypothesis; The coefficient of capital-output ratio is positive, and the coefficient of capital-labor ratio is negative, which indicates that our country is an economic growth model based on factor input, showing the characteristics of capital deepening. The labor income share has a positive correlation with the consumption tendency, the human capital growth rate, and the technology progress, the foreign trade export proportion, the tertiary industry added value proportion has the negative correlation, the model result all is consistent with the actual situation. It is concluded that reasonable income distribution system should be set up to improve labor income share, to return wealth to the people, to expand consumption, to improve investment, and to take the road of independent innovation.
【学位授予单位】:广西大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F249.2;F124.1
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