新型城镇化背景下基础设施投资的就业效应研究

发布时间：2018-01-24 21:49

本文关键词： 新型城镇化基础设施投资就业效应劳动需求弹性　出处：《湖南大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：基础设施投资是助推经济持续增长的关键因素之一,同时基础设施投资还将创造就业。未来我国经济将转向增速维持在7.5%左右的“新常态”,增速放缓情况下,我国劳动就业存在与经济发展不同步,就业增长相对劳动人口增长缓慢等问题。新型城镇化是未来我国经济发展的重要助推力,同时新型城镇化要求以人为核心,要解决传统城镇化城市承载能力不足和大量劳动人口就业问题。新型城镇化背景下基础设施投资能否拉动就业、如何合理分配基础设施投资成为当前需要迫切考虑的问题。本文立足于目前新型城镇化建设的大背景,分析了近年来基础设施投资与就业的变动趋势,发现不同类型基础设施投资的就业拉动能力存在较大差异,教育、卫生等门类的就业拉动能力较其他三类基础设施投资更高。并进一步采用基于面板数据的向量自回归方程,分析了各行业基础设施投资与就业增长的关系,发现新型城镇化背景下基础设施投资同时影响劳动力的供求和就业结构,直接并通过影响劳动需求弹性促进就业增加,就业对基础设施投资和自身存在正向反馈作用,我国东部、中部、西部地区的基础设施投资的就业效应存在区域性差异。我国应制定合理投资规划,优化基础设施投资的行业和区域结构,加强中西部地区及公共服务类的基础设施投资,创新基础设施投资模式,推动投资主体多元化和投融资模式的创新化。
[Abstract]:Infrastructure investment is one of the key factors to boost economic growth, while investment in infrastructure will also create jobs. The future of China's economy to maintain growth of around 7.5% of the "new normal" growth slowdown, China's employment and economic development in different step, employment growth is relatively slow population growth and labor issues new urbanization is an important thrust of China's future economic development at the same time, the requirements of new urbanization human centered, lack of ability to solve the employment problem and a large number of traditional urbanization city bearing. Under the background of new urbanization infrastructure investment can boost employment, how to reasonable allocation of infrastructure investment has become the urgent need to consider the problem at present. Based on the background of the construction of new urbanization at present, analyses the changing trend of employment and investment in infrastructure in recent years, found that There is a big difference, employment ability of different types of infrastructure investment in education, health and other categories of employment ability than the other three kind of infrastructure investment and further more. Since the regression equation of vector based on panel data, analysis of the industry infrastructure investment relationship investment and employment growth, found under the background of new urbanization infrastructure investment also affects the labor supply and demand and employment structure, direct and promote employment increased by the labor demand elasticity of employment, investment in infrastructure and has a positive feedback effect, the Middle East of our country, there are differences of employment effect of the western region's infrastructure investment. China should make reasonable investment planning, optimization infrastructure investment and regional industry structure, strengthening the Midwest infrastructure and public service innovation investment, infrastructure investment mode It promotes the diversification of the investment subject and the innovation of the investment and financing model.

【学位授予单位】：湖南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.21;F249.2;F283

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