浙江农产品对外贸易成本测算及其影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-02-04 02:09

本文关键词： 农产品贸易成本引力模型测算影响因素　出处：《浙江农林大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：农产品贸易是世界各国一个重要而又难以解决的问题，而我国的农产品对外贸易走势才则是全世界关注的焦点。在全球经济一体化不断深化背景下，我国已成为世界农产品最开放的市场之一。作为农产品贸易的重要环节，贸易成本在农产品贸易中起着关键的作用，浙江作为农产品对外贸易的活跃省份，在全国农产品贸易市场中占有一席之地。本论文分析了浙江目前农产品贸易成本及其影响因素，针对性的设计降低农产品贸易成本的策略，对浙江农产品贸易可持续发展具有现实意义。本论文在总结现有国内外相关文献、收集二手资料基础上首先对浙江农产品贸易基本情况进行了分析。认为浙江农产品出口具有规模上升但地位下降；农产品出口优势明显但种类集中；出口国家较多但市场集中；农产品发展迅速但综合成本不断上升等特点。其次，论文基于时间、产品和国家三个维度，通过海关信息网获取的浙江对各国出口的农产品数据以及各国GDP数据，采用采用Novy（2007）改进引力模型，测度2002~2013年浙江主要农产品对主要贸易国家出口的贸易成本。从贸易成本的测度结果来看，浙江农产品贸易成本整体呈下降趋势。再次，基于贸易成本测度结果，采用Bergstrand（2007）多元回归模型分析了影响贸易成本的因素。发现不同因素对于贸易成本影响是具有差异性的。其中地理距离、汇率成本、制度成本、历史联系、是否同属一个贸易集团有正面影响；而贸易壁垒、是否为高收入国家、是否相邻则没有明显影响，语言壁垒则无法确定其影响方向。最后，论文运用stata统计软件分析了影响贸易成本的具体因素。并基于此，设计了浙江降低贸易成本的策略。包括加快农业的发展，努力寻找降低农产品贸易成本途径；提高农产品的科技含量，改善农产品品质；加快发展物流业，，降低运输成本。
[Abstract]:Agricultural trade is an important and difficult problem in the world, and the trend of foreign trade of agricultural products in China is the focus of the world, under the background of the deepening of global economic integration. China has become one of the most open markets for agricultural products in the world. As an important link in agricultural trade, trade costs play a key role in agricultural trade. Zhejiang is an active province of agricultural trade. This paper analyzes the current agricultural product trade cost and its influencing factors in Zhejiang province, and designs the strategy to reduce the agricultural product trade cost. It is of practical significance to the sustainable development of Zhejiang agricultural products trade. This paper firstly analyzes the basic situation of Zhejiang's agricultural products trade on the basis of summarizing the existing domestic and foreign relevant literature and collecting the second-hand data. The author thinks that Zhejiang's agricultural product export has the scale to rise but the status drops; The export advantage of agricultural products is obvious but the types are concentrated; More exporting countries but concentrated markets; Rapid development of agricultural products but rising comprehensive costs and other characteristics. Secondly, based on the three dimensions of time, product and country, the paper obtains the export data of Zhejiang's agricultural products and GDP data through the customs information network. In this paper, the author uses Novy's 2007) to improve the gravity model to measure the trade cost of Zhejiang's main agricultural products to the main trading countries from 2002 to 2013. Zhejiang agricultural products trade costs as a whole showed a downward trend. Thirdly, based on the result of trade cost measurement. The factors influencing trade cost are analyzed by using Bergstrand's 2007) multivariate regression model. It is found that different factors have different influence on trade cost, among which geographical distance is different. Exchange rate costs, institutional costs, historical links, whether the same trade group has a positive impact; Trade barriers, whether they are high income countries or not, have no obvious influence, but language barriers can not determine the direction of their influence. Finally, the paper uses stata statistical software to analyze the specific factors affecting trade costs. Based on this, the paper designs strategies to reduce trade costs in Zhejiang Province, including accelerating the development of agriculture. Try to find ways to reduce the trade cost of agricultural products; Improving the scientific and technological content of agricultural products and improving the quality of agricultural products; Speed up the development of logistics industry, reduce transport costs.
【学位授予单位】：浙江农林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F224;F323.7;F752

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