湖南各市州低碳经济发展现状与对策研究

发布时间：2018-02-23 03:39

本文关键词： 低碳经济 GIS EKC模型　出处：《湖南大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：中国当前面临严峻的环境和能源形势，践行低碳理念、发展低碳经济成为其提升经济发展质量和效益、走可持续发展之路的必然选择。在当今国际贸易和商务往来中，“环境”已经成为越来越重要的考虑要素，发达国家动辄以“环保”为借口，大行“贸易保护”之策，“绿色壁垒”屡屡上演。在这种背景之下，研究我国低碳经济发展现状和政策建议对于深化对外开放、应对国际贸易绿色壁垒、推动企业“走出去”战略具有一定的现实意义。特别是，本文深入研究湖南省的低碳经济发展情况，搜集了各个市州低碳经济数据，通过数据分析、地理绘图、实证分析等方法，较为全面地展示了湖南省低碳经济发展水平。文章对于湖南省建设“两型社会”、湖南企业应对“绿色壁垒”提供了一定的数据和实证支持。文章研究了湖南省总体以及各个市州的低碳经济发展状况，较为全面地刻画了湖南省碳排放分布图，展现了湖南“两型社会”建设成果，，发现了亟待解决的问题，提出了切实可行的建议。首先，本文回顾并梳理了国内外有关学者在低碳经济方面的研究成果，在此基础上整理得出影响低碳经济发展的主要因素，从科技发展水平、政府规制、产业结构、对外开放程度等方面入手，研究了低碳经济的影响机制。其次，本文以湖南省为案例，对湖南省的低碳经济发展现状进行了详细的分析。一是描述了湖南省整体的能源消耗情况（1978-2011），研究发现，湖南省的煤品燃料使用占比有所下降，尤其是2003年以后下降趋势更为明显；二是计算了湖南省整体的碳排放总量和碳排放强度（2003-2011），发现碳排放强度在2003年附近出现拐点，2006年开始，下降趋势明显增强；三是计算了各市州碳排放总量和碳排放强度（2005-2010），对各个市州进行了对比分析，同时利用GIS地理绘图软件，绘制了湖南碳排放分布图，较为直观地反应了湖南省各市州碳排放情况。再次，本文利用EKC模型，对影响湖南省低碳经济发展的主要因素进行了实证分析。文章选取碳排放总量和碳排放强度两个因变量，分别构建了两个计量模型，利用2005年—2010年各市州的面板数据进行回归分析，并得到较为理想的计量结果。最后，本文对湖南省发展低碳经济提出了相关建议。在前文研究的基础上，文章针对湖南低碳经济发展的特点提出了较为可行的对策建议，对湖南省低碳经济发展和“四化两型”建设进行了有益的实践探索。
[Abstract]:China is now facing a severe environment and energy situation. To practice the concept of low carbon and develop a low carbon economy has become its economic development quality and efficiency. In today's international trade and business exchanges, "environment" has become an increasingly important element of consideration, and developed countries often use "environmental protection" as an excuse. The policy of "trade protection" and the "green barrier" are frequently staged. Under this background, the research on the current situation of low-carbon economy development and policy recommendations in China is aimed at deepening the opening up to the outside world and dealing with green barriers to international trade. It is of practical significance to promote the strategy of "going out". Especially, this paper deeply studies the development of low-carbon economy in Hunan Province, collects the low-carbon economic data of various cities and states, and through data analysis, geographic mapping, The empirical analysis shows the development level of low-carbon economy in Hunan Province. The paper provides some data and empirical support for Hunan's construction of "two-type society" and Hunan enterprises' response to "green barrier". This paper studies the development of low-carbon economy in Hunan Province, describes the carbon emission distribution map of Hunan Province, shows the achievements of Hunan's "two-type society", and finds the problems to be solved. Some practical suggestions are put forward. First of all, this paper reviews and combs the research results of domestic and foreign scholars in low-carbon economy, on the basis of which, the main factors affecting the development of low-carbon economy are summarized, from the level of scientific and technological development, government regulation, industrial structure. Starting with the degree of opening to the outside world, this paper studies the influence mechanism of low-carbon economy. Secondly, taking Hunan Province as an example, this paper makes a detailed analysis of the development of low-carbon economy in Hunan Province. First, it describes the overall energy consumption in Hunan Province. The study finds that the proportion of coal and fuel used in Hunan Province has decreased. Especially after 2003, the downward trend is more obvious. Secondly, the total amount of carbon emission and the intensity of carbon emission are calculated in Hunan Province from 2003 to 2011. It is found that there is a turning point near 2003, and the downward trend is obviously enhanced since 2006. Thirdly, the total amount of carbon emission and the intensity of carbon emission of each city state are calculated, and the comparative analysis of each city state is made. At the same time, the map of carbon emission distribution in Hunan province is drawn by using GIS software, which reflects the carbon emission situation of each city state in Hunan province directly. Thirdly, using EKC model, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the main factors influencing the development of low-carbon economy in Hunan Province. This paper selects two dependent variables of total carbon emissions and carbon emission intensity, and constructs two measurement models, respectively. The panel data from 2005 to 2010 are used for regression analysis, and the results are satisfactory. Finally, this paper puts forward some relevant suggestions for the development of low-carbon economy in Hunan Province. Based on the previous research, the paper puts forward some feasible countermeasures and suggestions for the development of low-carbon economy in Hunan Province. This paper explores the development of low carbon economy and the construction of "four modernizations" in Hunan Province.
【学位授予单位】：湖南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F205

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