湖南省城镇化对农村居民消费的影响研究

发布时间：2018-03-19 08:17

本文选题：湖南省　切入点：城镇化　出处：《湖南师范大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：一个国家或地区的城镇化进程是实现人口集聚、财富集聚、技术集聚和服务集聚的过程,同时也是人类生活方式、生产方式和组织方式不断转变的过程。发达国家的城镇化历史经验表明,城镇化对一个国家或地区的社会和经济发展具有积极的促进作用,城镇化不仅是实现二元经济向一元经济转变的根本途径,也是有效解决需求不足的重要措施,能够推动经济持续快速发展。城镇化的核心是“人的城镇化”,是要让城镇化的发展成果更多地惠及农村居民,带动新农村建设。湖南省地处我国中部,城镇化水平不高,农村居民人口占总人口的一半以上,居民消费水平尤其是农村居民消费水平长期偏低。目前已有的相关研究成果大多没有将城乡居民分开来进行分析,而由于城乡二元结构的存在且城镇居民和农村居民作为不同的消费主体,城镇化对城镇居民和农村居民消费的影响显然是不同的,由于篇幅有限,因此本文仅选取占我省人口多数的农村居民作为研究对象,希望通过我省城镇化的发展来推动农村居民的消费,进而实现扩大我省内需的目的。在借鉴国内外己有研究成果的基础上,本文分别从理论和实证两个方面研究湖南省城镇化对农村居民消费的影响,理论方面主要从城镇化对农村居民消费的影响机理方面展开；实证方面根据历年湖南省城镇化率和农村居民消费支出和消费结构的相关经验数据,在构建向量自回归模型(VAR模型)的基础上,运用脉冲响应函数和方差分解方法分析湖南省城镇化对农村居民消费的影响。最后在理论分析和实证研究的基础上,提出加快城镇化进程促进农村居民消费的具体政策建议：1、加快推进新型城镇化模式,引领农村消费增长；2、彻底改革户籍制度,从根本上消除城乡分割的制度壁垒；3、发挥城镇区位优势,加大政府财政支农力度；4、优化产业结构,大力发展城镇服务业；5、完善土地流转制度,保障农民土地利益；6、重视提高农村居民的消费知识和消费技能。
[Abstract]:The process of urbanization in a country or region is the process of realizing population agglomeration, wealth agglomeration, technology agglomeration and service agglomeration, as well as the human way of life. The historical experience of urbanization in developed countries shows that urbanization plays a positive role in promoting the social and economic development of a country or region. Urbanization is not only the fundamental way to realize the transformation from dual economy to monolithic economy, but also an important measure to effectively solve the shortage of demand, which can promote the sustained and rapid development of economy. The core of urbanization is "human urbanization", which aims to make the development of urbanization more beneficial to rural residents and promote the construction of new rural areas. Hunan Province is located in the central part of our country, and the level of urbanization is not high. The rural population accounts for more than half of the total population, and the consumption level of the residents, especially the rural residents, has been on the low side for a long time. At present, most of the relevant research results have not separated the urban and rural residents for analysis. However, due to the existence of urban-rural dual structure and the fact that urban residents and rural residents are different consumers, the impact of urbanization on the consumption of urban residents and rural residents is obviously different. Therefore, this paper only selects the rural residents who account for the majority of the population of our province as the research object, hoping to promote the consumption of the rural residents through the development of urbanization in our province, and then realize the purpose of expanding the domestic demand of our province. Based on the domestic and foreign research results, this paper studies the impact of urbanization in Hunan Province on rural residents' consumption from both theoretical and empirical aspects. In theory, it mainly starts from the influence mechanism of urbanization on rural residents' consumption. The empirical analysis is based on the experience data of urbanization rate and consumption structure of rural residents in Hunan Province over the years. On the basis of constructing vector autoregressive model (VAR), this paper uses impulse response function and variance decomposition method to analyze the impact of urbanization on rural residents' consumption in Hunan Province. Finally, on the basis of theoretical analysis and empirical research. Specific policy recommendations on accelerating the process of urbanization and promoting rural residents' consumption are put forward: 1, accelerate the promotion of a new type of urbanization model, lead rural consumption growth, and thoroughly reform the household registration system. We should fundamentally eliminate the institutional barriers to the division of urban and rural areas, give full play to the regional advantages of cities and towns, increase government financial support for agriculture, optimize the industrial structure, vigorously develop urban service industries, and improve the land circulation system. To protect farmers' land interests and to improve the consumption knowledge and skills of rural residents.
【学位授予单位】：湖南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.21;F323.8

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