天津智慧城项目可行性研究

发布时间：2018-04-22 15:39

本文选题：城市化 + 城中村改造　；参考：《山东大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着我国经济的发展,城市化水平在不断的提高。城市化是一个地区的人口向城镇和城市相对集中的过程,人们的生产和生活方式由乡村型向城市型转化的同时,房地产行业也会获得快速的发展。在城市近郊区采取“城中村”改造的模式,征地还迁建设住房,是加快城市化建设、拓宽城市化道路、促进房地产行业良性健康发展的重要途径之一。本文重点研究了天津市“城中村”改造示例,即东丽区“智慧城”项目。它既是天津市“城中村”改造的重点,也是东丽区加速推进城市化进程的关键一步。在保证当地居民还迁新居的基础上,剩余土地用于建设商品房出售,形成了改善居民生存环境、实现经济效益的双赢局面。同时智慧城项目的开工建设,将进一步促进全区城乡一体化发展。本文结合相关政策、法律及技术经济知识,运用理论研究与实证分析相结合的研究方法。通过分析可知受市区内高房价压力的影响,大量人口将购买意向转移到了近郊四区,该项目所在东丽区房价稳定增长、需求态势强劲,因此该项目具有良好的市场前景。由于施工过程中会对周围生态环境带来一定的影响,因此文中从项目所在地自然因素、当前环境现状及污染源识别三方面深入的研究了该项目对环境的影响程度,并给出了相应的防范措施。从环境保护方面考量了该项目的可行性。文中从项目成本估算、收入估算以及相关重要财务经济指标等方面综合分析了该项目的可行性。并对其进行了敏感性分析及风险识别,制定出了相关的应对措施。该项目能够取得较可观的利润,并具有一定的抗风险能力,因此从经济上来说可行。最后,为尽量减小项目风险,保障项目稳妥并切实可行,进行定量风险评估,并对风险等级高的两大风险因素给出相应的风险防范措施。通过对智慧城项目深入、系统的分析,得到相应的评价指标,确定出该项目的可行性,为项目实施提供了依据。
[Abstract]:With the development of our country's economy, the level of urbanization is constantly improving. Urbanization is a relatively concentrated process of population in a region to towns and cities. When people's production and life style changes from rural to urban, the real estate industry will also get rapid development. It is one of the important ways to speed up the construction of urbanization, widen the road of urbanization and promote the healthy development of real estate industry. This paper focuses on the example of "village in city" in Tianjin, that is, "wisdom city" project in Dongli district. It is not only the focal point of the transformation of "villages in cities" in Tianjin, but also the key step of accelerating the urbanization process in Dongli District. On the basis of ensuring that local residents also move to new houses, the remaining land is used for building commercial housing for sale, which forms a win-win situation for improving the living environment of residents and realizing economic benefits. At the same time, the construction of the Wisdom City project will further promote the integration of urban and rural areas. This paper combines the relevant policies, laws and technical and economic knowledge, using theoretical research and empirical analysis of the combination of research methods. Through the analysis, we can know that under the influence of the high house price pressure in the urban area, a large number of people have transferred the purchase intention to the four suburban areas. The project is located in Dongli district, where the house price increases steadily and the demand situation is strong, so the project has a good market prospect. Because the construction process will bring certain influence to the surrounding ecological environment, this paper deeply studies the impact degree of the project on the environment from three aspects: the natural factors of the project location, the current environmental situation and the identification of the pollution sources. The corresponding preventive measures are also given. The feasibility of the project is considered in terms of environmental protection. In this paper, the feasibility of the project is comprehensively analyzed from the aspects of cost estimation, income estimation and related important financial and economic indicators. Sensitivity analysis and risk identification are carried out, and relevant countermeasures are worked out. The project can make considerable profits and have a certain ability to resist risks, so it is economically feasible. Finally, in order to minimize the project risk and ensure the safety and feasibility of the project, the quantitative risk assessment is carried out, and the corresponding risk prevention measures are given for the two risk factors with high risk grade. Through the thorough and systematic analysis of the Wise City project, the corresponding evaluation indexes are obtained, and the feasibility of the project is determined, which provides the basis for the project implementation.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.2

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