寿光市卡诺岛建设项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-05-11 11:34

本文选题：房地产项目 + 风险管理　；参考：《中国海洋大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：21世纪以来,伴随国民经济的迅猛发展,房地产的开发的进程也不断加快,从一线城市发展到了二三线城市,甚至在城镇化进程中,乡镇也加入了房地产开发市场的热潮之中。由于房地产开发项目一般投资周期长,需要资金大,涉及的领域广,受国家政策影响较大,加之开发商主观上对房地产政策、金融政策的理解、判断或把握上出现偏差,或者对房地产市场供求形势掌握信息不全、不准,投资决策过于草率,项目管理者的风险意识淡薄,风险控制能力较差,这些都会给地产业带来越来越多的风险。科学的风险防范措施可以使房地产开发企业合理的回避和化解风险带来的不利影响,减少经济方面的损失,给企业带来更高的利润率和持续的发展能力。项目风险管理在实践中的作用越来越重要,因此越来越多的学者和研究人员致力于对各类项目风险的研究和分析,风险以及风险管理都已经成为人们重点研究的课题之一。本文以寿光市卡诺岛房地产项目为例,从国际房地产市场的发展趋势,到国内市场经济下的泡沫经济,以及开发商对市场供需的调研、寿光市发展的态势以及对此项目的风险预期都做了详细的分解,通篇全文立足于房地产开发商的角度,运用风险管理分析法系统对该房地产项目中的风险进行了透析。本文首先阐明了选题的背景和意义,其次,针对房地产项目风险管理的相关概念及卡诺岛项目的位置、规划设计、项目现状及建设条件等具体情况,通过对卡诺岛项目基本情况的分析,对该项目在不同阶段存在的风险进行识别。进一步对卡诺岛项目的风险进行评价,在风险评价过程中应用了PEST法、SWOT综合分析以及项目财务风险分-析等方法进行详细的分析,最后,在卡诺岛项目的风险分析、风险评价基础上,结合房地产投资风险控制理论,对该项目的风险管理提出一系列可行性建议和风险应对措施,以期提高该项目开发商的风险管理意识,提高风险识别、风险评估和风险应对能力,最大程度的降低损失,带动房地产业良好的循环发展。
[Abstract]:Since the 21st century, with the rapid development of the national economy, the process of real estate development has been accelerated, from the first-tier cities to the second-third-tier cities, even in the process of urbanization, villages and towns have joined the upsurge of the real estate development market. Because real estate development projects generally have a long investment cycle, need large funds, involve a wide range of fields, and are greatly influenced by national policies, in addition to the subjective understanding, judgment or grasp of real estate policies and financial policies on the part of developers, Or to the real estate market supply and demand situation grasps the information incomplete, not accurate, the investment decision is too hasty, the project manager's risk consciousness is weak, the risk control ability is poor, all these will bring more risks to the real estate industry. Scientific risk prevention measures can make real estate development enterprises reasonably avoid and resolve the adverse effects of risks, reduce economic losses, and bring higher profit margin and sustainable development ability to enterprises. Project risk management plays a more and more important role in practice, so more and more scholars and researchers devote themselves to the research and analysis of all kinds of project risks. Risk and risk management have become one of the key research topics. This paper takes the real estate project of Shouguang City as an example, from the development trend of the international real estate market to the bubble economy in the domestic market economy, as well as the research on the supply and demand of the market by the developers. The situation of Shouguang city development and the risk expectation of this project are decomposed in detail. The whole article is based on the angle of the real estate developer, using the risk management analysis system to analyze the risk in the real estate project. In this paper, the background and significance of the topic are first expounded. Secondly, the concept of risk management in real estate projects, the location, planning and design of the project, the status quo of the project and the construction conditions are discussed. Based on the analysis of the basic situation of the Cano Island project, the risks in different stages of the project are identified. In the process of risk evaluation, the PEST method is used to analyze the risk of the project, and the method of financial risk analysis is used to analyze the risk of the project. Finally, the risk analysis of the project in Cano Island is carried out. On the basis of risk evaluation, combined with the theory of real estate investment risk control, a series of feasible suggestions and risk countermeasures are put forward for the risk management of the project, in order to improve the risk management awareness and risk identification of the project developer. Risk assessment and risk response ability to minimize the loss, driving the real estate industry a good cycle of development.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：TU71;F299.233.4

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