江苏省农业信息化与城镇化相关性分析

发布时间：2018-05-20 23:24

本文选题：农业信息化 + 农业信息化水平测度　；参考：《南京农业大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着信息技术的高度发展,经济信息化、社会信息化的时代已经到来,信息化已经上升到国家发展的战略决策层面,是国家、地区以及城市经济发展的重中之重。农业信息化是国民经济、农村经济和社会信息化的重要组成部分,是缩小城乡数字鸿沟的重要手段,在农村社会的经济发展过程中起着至关重要的作用,同时也对高效合理地解决“三农”问题具有重要意义。目前,定量分析农业信息化与城镇化之间的相关性的研究数量不多,研究的角度也受到经济、政治和文化等其他社会因素的影响。因此,有针对性地定量研究农业信息化与城镇化的相关性具有重要意义,不仅能够揭示出两者之间存在的因果关系,同时还能为相关决策者提供理论支持,具有实践和指导意义。本研究就是基于这一目的和方向开展研究的。本文首先对国内外相关研究和实践进行了全面系统的总结,在遵循特定原则和《国家信息化指标构成方案》的指导下,构建了江苏省农业信息化发展水平的测评指标体系,涵盖了农业信息化进程中涉及的农业信息化基础设施建设、农业信息化平台、农业信息化资源、农业信息化人力资源以及农业信息化发展环境五大方面,选取了21个具体指标作为衡量江苏省农业信息化的发展水平。城镇化的发展过程其实质是农村人口转变成城市人口的过程,因此本文选用城镇化率作为城镇化发展水平的衡量标准。通过直接获得和间接查询等方法获得数据,对数据进行处理、分析和计算,得到江苏省2001-2010年的农业信息化综合指数以及城镇化率,选用格兰杰因果检验方法,借助软件eviews7.2分析农业信息化与城镇化之间是否存在因果关系,对分析结果进行归纳总结,从而揭示江苏省在农业信息化发展中存在的问题,并由此提出促进农业信息化快速发展的政策建议以及缩小苏南、苏中和苏北地区信息化发展不平衡的必要性。本文开创性地运用了计量经济学中的格兰杰因果检验方法,分析检验了农业信息化与城镇化之间的因果关系,定量地揭示出农业信息化和城镇化两者之间在时间的先导——滞后中存在的相互影响关系,对于指导农村经济发展,合理使用信息资源等方面具有理论和实践意义。
[Abstract]:With the highly development of information technology, the era of economic informatization and social informatization has come, and informatization has risen to the strategic decision-making level of national development, which is the most important part of national, regional and urban economic development. Agricultural informatization is an important part of the national economy, rural economy and social informatization, is an important means to narrow the digital divide between urban and rural areas, and plays a vital role in the economic development of rural society. At the same time, it is of great significance to solve the problem of agriculture, countryside and farmers efficiently and reasonably. At present, there are few studies on the correlation between agricultural informatization and urbanization, and the angle of study is also influenced by other social factors, such as economy, politics and culture. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the correlation between agricultural informatization and urbanization, not only to reveal the causality between them, but also to provide theoretical support for relevant decision makers. It has practical and guiding significance. This study is based on this purpose and direction of the study. Firstly, this paper summarizes the relevant research and practice at home and abroad, and under the guidance of specific principles and "National Informatization Index composition Scheme", constructs the evaluation index system of agricultural informatization development level in Jiangsu Province. It covers five aspects of agricultural informatization infrastructure construction, agricultural informatization platform, agricultural informatization resources, agricultural informatization human resources and agricultural informatization development environment, which are involved in the process of agricultural informatization. Selected 21 specific indicators to measure the development level of agricultural informatization in Jiangsu Province. The essence of urbanization is the transformation of rural population into urban population, so this paper chooses urbanization rate as the standard of urbanization development level. Through obtaining the data directly and indirectly, processing, analyzing and calculating the data, the comprehensive index of agricultural informatization and the urbanization rate of Jiangsu Province from 2001 to 2010 are obtained, and the Granger causality test method is chosen. With the help of software eviews7.2, this paper analyzes whether there is a causal relationship between agricultural informatization and urbanization, summarizes the results of the analysis, and reveals the problems existing in the development of agricultural informatization in Jiangsu Province. It also puts forward the policy suggestions to promote the rapid development of agricultural informatization and the necessity of reducing the imbalance of informatization development in southern, central and northern Jiangsu. This paper makes a groundbreaking use of Granger causality test in econometrics to analyze and test the causality between agricultural informatization and urbanization. This paper reveals quantitatively the relationship between agricultural informatization and urbanization in the time leading-lag, which is of theoretical and practical significance in guiding the development of rural economy and rationally using information resources.
【学位授予单位】：南京农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F323.3;F299.27

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