政府投资项目代建制风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-06-06 11:44

  本文选题：政府投资项目 + 代建制　； 参考：《西安科技大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着我国加入WTO和全社会经济的不断发展,特别是政府对大型项目的投资和兴建,使得项目的建设模式越来越得到人们的关注,新型的代建制模式以其特有的优越性吸引了大批专家学者和管理者。由于政府投资项目涉及金额巨大,社会影响力强,再加上其中错综复杂的关系和近年来突发事件的防不胜防,代建制的风险管理问题一直是困扰投资项目发展的关键性难题。因此,对政府投资项目代建制风险管理的研究和探讨具有非常大的理论和现实意义。本文结合国外和我国政府投资项目代建制的发展情况,从政府投资项目、风险管理、代建制的相关理论入手,按照代建项目风险识别、风险分析的风险管理逻辑体系,归纳出在具体的代建实践过程中,出现的各种风险因素,并应用风险识别的方法,通过专家意见法分析风险因素,并归类为一、二阶因素层次结构,构建了风险因素指标体系,再应用层次分析法和模糊综合评价法,得到政府投资项目代建制风险管理模型。同时,通过案例实证分析,将此模型用于实际的代建项目,结论表明此模型是科学合理的,所得的结论也是可靠的。最后,文章根据理论和实践的相结合的方式、以及模型所得的结论,提出有效的风险管理应对建议,为完善代建制风险管理制度和提高代建制风险管理效率提供一定的参考。
[Abstract]:With China's entry into WTO and the continuous development of the whole society and economy, especially the investment and construction of large-scale projects by the government, more and more attention has been paid to the construction mode of the projects. The new agent system model attracts a large number of experts and managers for its unique advantages. Due to the huge amount of money involved in government investment projects, strong social influence, and the intricate relationship between them and the unexpected events in recent years, the risk management problem of agent system has always been a key problem puzzling the development of investment projects. Therefore, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study and discuss the risk management of government investment projects. This paper combines the development of foreign and Chinese government investment projects, starting with the relevant theories of government investment projects, risk management and agent construction, and according to the risk identification and risk analysis logic system of agent construction projects. All kinds of risk factors appear in the concrete practice of agency construction are summarized, and the risk factors are analyzed by expert opinion method, and classified into the first and second order factor hierarchy structure, and the index system of risk factors is constructed by using the method of risk identification, and the expert opinion method is used to analyze the risk factors, which are classified as the hierarchical structure of first and second order factors. Then the risk management model of government investment project is obtained by using AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. At the same time, through the case study, the model is applied to the actual construction project. The conclusion shows that the model is scientific and reasonable, and the conclusion is also reliable. Finally, according to the combination of theory and practice, as well as the conclusion of the model, the paper puts forward some effective risk management suggestions, which provides a certain reference for perfecting the system of risk management and improving the efficiency of agent system risk management.
【学位授予单位】：西安科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F283
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本文编号：1986408