劳动生产率提升效应与上海经济转型升级——基于制造业劳动生产率的非参数生产前沿动态分析

发布时间：2018-06-08 22:19

本文选题：劳动生产率 + 资本深化　；参考：《上海经济研究》2015年01期

【摘要】：当前,上海面临着既要保持合理经济增长速度,又要实现经济转型发展的双重艰巨任务,而劳动生产率则是完成这两大任务的关键因素。一方面,经济增长本质上是劳动生产率提升与劳动力增长共同作用的结果,在当前上海人口红利趋于减弱的形势下,继续提升劳动生产率是保持经济合理增长的关键环节;另一方面,经济转型又要求转变经济增长方式,由主要依赖物质消耗转为主要依赖广义的技术进步。而资本深化、技术进步和技术效率提升又是推动劳动生产率持续增长的三个要素。该文利用非参数生产前沿动态分析模型,对"十五"时期以来上海制造业劳动生产率增长要素进行拆解分析。结果显示,近年来虽然上海制造业增加值与劳动生产率呈现同步回落走势,但技术进步与技术效率提升对劳动生产率增长的贡献逐步增强,表明上海经济已初步显现转型升级的特征。由此,在上海经济转型升级的关键时期,更加需要关注技术、管理与制度创新,并且适度兼顾资本深化的作用,力求在推进经济转型升级的同时,保持经济的合理增速。
[Abstract]:At present, Shanghai is faced with the dual arduous task of maintaining the reasonable economic growth rate and realizing the economic transformation and development, and the labor productivity is the key factor to complete these two tasks. On the one hand, the economic growth is essentially the result of the combination of labor productivity improvement and labor force growth. In the current situation where the demographic dividend in Shanghai tends to weaken, continuing to enhance labor productivity is the key link to maintain reasonable economic growth. On the other hand, economic transformation calls for changing the mode of economic growth from mainly relying on material consumption to relying mainly on the broad sense of technological progress. Capital deepening, technological progress and technical efficiency are the three factors to promote the sustained growth of labor productivity. In this paper, the nonparametric production frontier dynamic analysis model is used to disassemble and analyze the factors of labor productivity growth in Shanghai manufacturing industry since the 10th Five-Year Plan period. The results show that in recent years, although the value added of manufacturing industry in Shanghai has been declining in step with the labor productivity, the contribution of technological progress and technological efficiency to the growth of labor productivity has gradually increased. Shanghai economy has shown the characteristics of transformation and upgrading. Therefore, in the critical period of Shanghai's economic transformation and upgrading, it is necessary to pay more attention to technology, management and institutional innovation, and give due consideration to the role of capital deepening, and strive to maintain a reasonable economic growth rate while promoting economic transformation and upgrading.
【作者单位】：上海市统计局国民经济核算处;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金重点项目《中国企业转型升级战略及其竞争优势研究》(71332007) 教育部哲学社会科学重大课题攻关项目《提升我国产品海外形象研究》(13JZD017)
【分类号】：F249.27;F127;F224

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